The Mercury News

Reading scores plunge in state

During a decade of stagnation, California slowly narrows gaps with other states in math and reading

- By John Fensterwal­d and Daniel Willis Edsource

In 2017, California education leaders heralded the significan­t increase in the state’s eighth grade reading scores on the National Assessment of Educationa­l Progress as a sign that the state’s investment in education and its adoption of the Common Core standards had taken hold.

Curb that enthusiasm. In 2019, California’s eighth graders gave back the gain, as did much of the nation, underscori­ng that progress on state and national standardiz­ed tests is best measured over a decade, not in single years.

The latest scores of NAEP, the closely watched national assessment taken by a sample of fourth and eighth-graders in every state, showed that California largely followed the national pattern this year with little to no change in math but a significan­t decline in eighth-grade reading on a scale of 500 points.

In math, both California’s and the nation’s eighth grade scores fell less than 1 point. The nation’s fourth grade math score rose 1 point and California’s rose 3 points — though it was not considered statistica­lly significan­t because of the sample size.

The biggest change was in reading, and the news was not good. Joining 30 states whose eighth grade reading scores also fell, California’s decline of 3 points, the same as the nation, about matched its point gain in 2017.

In fourth grade reading, the national score fell 2 points, which was considered significan­t, while California’s 1 point rise was not. Only one state, low-scoring Mississipp­i, saw a gain in fourth grade reading.

Los Angeles Unified, one of three California districts whose results are reported, had big sin

gle-year drops of 6 points in both eighth grade math and reading. It was the largest decline of the 27 urban districts participat­ing in the Trial Urban District Assessment project.

Taking a longer view, the national results show that from 2009 to 2019, there was no improvemen­t in math scores. Stagnant results in reading go back at least two decades for national results in both fourth and eighth grades.

In math, since 2013, national scores of the highestper­forming students have risen, while scores of students who have struggled — those who score in the lowest 10th and quarter of test-takers — have continued to drop.

“It is not clear why it is happening, but it is consistent,” said Peggy Carr, associate director of the federal National Center for Education Statistics, which administer­s NAEP.

Carr declined to speculate on the reasons there has been “frustratin­gly no progress in the past decade” on NAEP. Opponents of the Common Core will cite the adoption of the standards in most states in 2010 or a letup in accountabi­lity for standardiz­ed testing with the relaxation of the federal No Child Left Behind law’s penalties, then the replacemen­t of the law with the Every Student Succeeds Act in 2015.

Michael Petrilli, president the Ohio-based Fordham Institute, suggested a different reason: the decline in spending on education “for the first time in American history,” after the Great Recession.

“I think we are still seeing the effect of that, even as states are starting to open their wallets again,” he said. The recession had a particular­ly negative impact on low-income families, whose children are now in the grades being tested, he said.

California policy leaders who have stressed patience while districts adapt to the Common Core and praised increases in K-12 funding, starting in 2013, will not disagree. While the nation as a whole was treading water, California did slowly narrow the gap, in some areas significan­tly, between it and the national average over the past decade. Steady progress overall in reading can be tracked back to 2003.

California was statistica­lly behind 43 states in fourth grade reading in 2009. It was statistica­lly behind 22 states in 2019. It was statistica­lly behind 43 states in 2009 in eighth grade reading and behind 28 states this year.

In fourth grade math, California was statistica­lly behind 43 states in 2009 and behind 37 states in 2019. In eighth grade math, it was statistica­lly behind 45 states in 2009 and behind 35 states this year.

And while the gap between high- and low-performing students has expanded nationally in both subjects, it occurred only in eighth grade reading in California, with the percentage­s of students scoring below basic — the lowest category — and scoring advanced both grew substantia­lly in 2019.

As with the state’s annual standardiz­ed assessment, the Smarter Balanced test, there remain huge disparitie­s in performanc­e on NAEP among racial and demographi­c groups and progress in closing the gaps has been mixed.

The large gap between students qualifying for the federal lunch program and those who don’t shrank 3 points in eighth grade reading between 2009 and 2019. It narrowed 9 points in eighth grade math — one of the biggest declines nationally — but still remained, tied with Ohio, the largest in the nation: 36 points.

The gap between whites and Latino students also declined a little in both subjects and grades.

But the gap between black and white students increased 10 points, to 37, in fourth grade math and 12 points, to 38, in eighth grade math, one of the largest in the nation, during that time.

Black students’ reading scores actually declined in both grades.

About 294,000 students took the reading test and 297,000 students took the math test in schools across the nation in 2019. While randomly selected, the students were representa­tive of states’ demographi­cs.

NAEP is designed to test what a board of experts has determined students are supposed to know in fourth and eighth grades. Questions are not based on any state curriculum, although studies have shown that the questions are consistent with expectatio­ns of the Common Core standards that most states, like California, have adopted partly or fully.

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