The Mercury News

Flood risk heightened for Socal dam

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LOS ANGELES >> A California dam could fail during an extreme storm and send water flooding into Mojave Desert communitie­s that are home to about 300,000 people, authoritie­s said Friday.

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers announced that it has changed its risk characteri­zation of the Mojave River Dam from low to high urgency of action. The Corps said it estimates that only 16,000 people in those communitie­s would be affected by flooding.

The earthen dam was built in the 1970s near the San Bernardino Mountains east of Los Angeles. It was designed for flood control and is usually dry.

The 200-foot-high dam has never breached but an assessment last year found that during an extreme storm, water could flow over the top and erode the dam.

That could threaten Apple Valley, Hesperia, Victorvill­e, Barstow and even Baker, more than 140 miles downstream.

The chances of such a storm are only about 1-in10,000, said Luciano Vera, spokesman for the Los Angeles district of the Army Corps of Engineers.

However, “all it takes is one event ... one Katrina, one Hurricane Harvey,” Vera said. “These storms are happening more and more, so this is our way of looking toward the future.”

The corps has been working with local communitie­s on emergency preparatio­n plans and will also begin a study on upgrading and strengthen­ing the dam, Vera said.

Since 2005’s devastatin­g Katrina, the corps has been looking at all of its 700 dams nationwide.

In May, the corps upgraded the risk characteri­zation of Prado Dam to high urgency. That dam is located on the Santa Ana River in Corona. Dozens of Southern California cities with about 1.4 million people live downstream in Orange County.

Work to improve the dam has been under way since 2002 to increase the amount of floodwater­s and sediment it can store.

In 2017, some 200,000 people in three Sierra Nevada counties were forced to evacuate after spillways at the Oroville Dam crumbled and fell away during heavy rains.

Flooding didn’t happen, however, and the dam has since been repaired.

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