The Mercury News

Is it time to panic?

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As of May 20, the S&P 500 Index, comprising 500 of America's biggest companies, was down a sizable 18% year to date. The Nasdaq stock market was down much more — 27%. Large drops make many investors panicky. If you approach your investing in a rational way, though, you needn't panic.

Understand that the stock market is a terrific long-term wealth builder, but it doesn't go up in a straight line. Volatility is to be expected. Stock market correction­s (drops of between 10% and 20%) or bear markets (drops of 20% or more) happen about every other year, on average. While some may last years, they usually last around six months.

To avoid reasons to worry, don't invest in stocks with money you expect to need within five years — or, to be more conservati­ve, perhaps 10 years. You don't want to amass a bundle for a down payment on a home only to have the market drop right before you planned to sell many stocks. Park short-term money in less volatile investment­s, such as certificat­es of deposit (CDs) or money market accounts.

It's also smart to focus on percentage­s, not points. The media like sensationa­l headlines, such as “Dow Plunges 300 Points!” But in context, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average is around 32,000, a 300-point drop is less than 1%. Even large percentage­s aren't portents of doom — the S&P 500 plunged by about 38% in 2008, for instance, but that was followed by double-digit gains in five of the next six years.

It's often best to just hang on through downturns, but there can be some cases when selling is the right thing to do. For example, if you have little idea exactly what a company you've invested in does or how it makes its money, it would be best to learn more about it — or sell. Having studied a company and knowing it well will help during a downturn: You'll know whether the company is facing long-term problems, or if it has just retreated temporaril­y along with many other stocks.

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