The Morning Journal (Lorain, OH)
WHO WILL WIN — AND WHO DESERVES TO WIN
The following are the official odds from GoldDerby.com in the six major categories for the 90th Academy Awards as of the morning of Feb. 28 — for up-to-the-minute odds, visit bit.ly/godderbyodds2018 — followed by how Entertainment Editor Mark Meszoros would vote if only he had an actual say.
BEST PICTURE
• “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” 13/10
• “The Shape of Water,” 21/10
• “Get Out,” 7/1
• “Lady Bird,” 25/1
• “Dunkirk,” 50/1
• “Call Me By Your Name,” 50/1
• “Phantom Thread,” 80/1
• “The Post,” 100/1
• “Darkest Hour,” 100/1
Meszoros vote: “The Shape of Water.” While not to all tastes, the film is artistically ambitious and comes together beautifully.
BEST DIRECTOR
• Guillermo del Toro (“The Shape of Water”), 1/10
• Christopher Nolan
(“Dunkirk”), 28/1
• Greta Gerwig (“Lady Bird”), 40/1
• Jordan Peele (“Get Out”), 50/1
• Paul Thomas Anderson (“Phantom Thread”), 80/1
Meszoros vote: Del Toro. No director better executed a cinematic vision.
BEST ACTRESS
• Frances McDormand (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”), 2/13
• Saoirse Ronan (“Lady Bird”), 18/1
• Sally Hawkins (“The Shape of Water”), 18/1
• Margot Robbie (“I, Tonya”), 50/1
• Meryl Streep (“The Post”), 80/1
Meszoros vote: Hawkins. Even without speaking, she gave a captivating performance with real emotional resonance. BEST ACTOR
• Gary Oldman (“Darkest Hour”), 2/13
• Timothee Chalamet (“Call Me by Your Name”), 16/1
• Daniel Day-Lewis (“Phantom Thread”), 40/1
• Daniel Kaluuya (“Get Out”), 50/1
• Denzel Washington (“Roman J. Israel, Esq.”), 100/1
Meszoros vote: Oldman. Sure, it’s easy to give it to the man giving the biggest performance as a historical figure … but he’s just terrific.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
• Allison Janney (“I, Tonya”), 2/7
• Laurie Metcalf (“Lady Bird”), 9/2
• Mary J. Blige (“Mudbound”), 50/1
• Lesley Manville (“Phantom Thread”), 60/1
• Octavia Spencer (“The Shape of Water”), 66/1
Meszoros vote: Metcalf. This one’s close — Janney gives a really fun performance — but Metcalf is a big reason “Lady Bird” stays with you for a while after seeing it.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
• Sam Rockwell (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”), 2/11
• Willem Dafoe (“The Florida Project”), 10/1
• Christopher Plummer (“All the Money in the World”), 50/1
• Richard Jenkins (“The Shape of Water”), 50/1
• Woody Harrelson (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”), 80/1
Meszoros vote: Plummer. Perhaps Kevin Spacey, who was filmed in the role of wealthy industrialist J. Paul Getty and replaced late in the game after sexual misconduct allegations were levied against him, would have been terrific in the role, but Plummer certainly was.