The Morning Journal (Lorain, OH)

Narrative on rich not paying fair share collapses (again)

- Andrew Wilford Andrew Wilford is a policy analyst with the National Taxpayers Union Foundation. He wrote this for InsideSour­ces. com.

Democrats continue to kick around various spending proposals which could end up costing taxpayers as much as $5.4 trillion over the next decade, even without which the country is set to run a budget deficit right around $3 trillion for the second consecutiv­e year.

To justify this extraordin­ary fiscal expansion, they have continued to point fingers at a familiar scapegoat — the wealthy — claiming America’s budget woes would evaporate should they simply pay their “fair share.”

But the latest data on federal revenues clearly puts the lie to this claim.

The most recent budget data from the nonpartisa­n Congressio­nal Budget Office (CBO) estimates federal revenues for the 2021 fiscal year will exceed $4 trillion, an 18 percent increase relative to the previous year. Though total federal revenues decreased somewhat last year due to the pandemic, dropping from $3.46 trillion in FY 2019 to $3.42 trillion in FY 2020, this year’s increase more than makes up for that decline.

What’s more, the revenue increase is driven largely by taxes paid overwhelmi­ngly by the wealthy.

According to the CBO, 97.4 percent of the revenue increase relative to last year comes from corporate taxes and individual income taxes.

The individual income tax, in particular, skews overwhelmi­ngly wealthy, with the top 1 percent shoulderin­g just over 40 percent of the income tax burden.

Meanwhile, the major federal revenue source that is structured less progressiv­ely, the payroll tax, actually saw a $2 billion decline in receipts compared to FY 2020.

Those figures contradict the progressiv­e claim that the only thing standing in the way of their agenda is a tax code that doesn’t adequately tax the wealthy.

For years, Democrats have blamed the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act for cutting individual income tax and corporate tax rates.

But even fresh off a recovery from a global pandemicin­duced recession, this latest data shows that revenues from those areas of the tax code remain sizable indeed. Corporate income tax revenues are right around the level the CBO was forecastin­g for this year prior to the passage of the TCJA, and individual income tax revenues are even higher.

This also should make taxpayers skeptical of Democratic proposals to track down a supposedly enormous amount of tax revenue currently going unpaid, known as the “tax gap.”

President Joe Biden has claimed that the tax gap is many times larger than the IRS says it is, going on to say that his agenda can be paid for if only the tax cheats could be hunted down.

Never mind that doing so may involve snooping on your bank account, Biden’s claims of an enormous tax gap were always suspect, and now they are even more so.

This obfuscatio­n is all meant to cover a simple truth — progressiv­es can’t come close to funding their expensive, expansive agenda off the backs of the rich.

Though estimates of the wealth held by America’s richest denizens can appear staggering, it represents little more than grocery money to the enormous money churn that is the federal government.

Even setting aside the Build Back Better agenda, the federal government is set to run a deficit of over $12 trillion over the next ten years.

Even if the federal government confiscate­s every cent of billionair­e wealth in the country, it would not be enough to cover the federal deficit (let alone the $28 trillion national debt) for even the next three years.

Taking into account longerterm trends, like projected Social Security insolvency and spikes in the cost of Medicare, billionair­e wealth represents a drop in the bucket.

Then consider that progressiv­es are nowhere near the level of federal spending they want to achieve. Between the $32 trillion plan for Medicare-forAll, the Biden administra­tion’s agenda, and the indetermin­ate but likely massive cost of a Green New Deal, the idea that these things could be funded solely by taxing the rich is a pipe dream.

It’s good to see tax revenues recovering, if only so that the debt burden passed on to future generation­s grows at a slightly slower pace.

But Americans should also take care to note the lesson being presented here: The rich can’t help you dig out of the fiscal hole progressiv­es want to put you in.

Even if the federal government confiscate­s every cent of billionair­e wealth in the country, it would not be enough to cover the federal deficit ... for even the next three years.

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