The News Herald (Willoughby, OH)

Why so hard to count votes?

- By Michael Traugott University of Michigan

In Kansas this past August, vote totals in the Republican primary for governor fluctuated by more than 100 votes over the course of a few days, and the winner — Secretary of State Kris Kobach — wasn’t declared until a week after the vote.

In Virginia, a hotly contested battle last year for the commonweal­th’s House of Delegates first gave the race to the Republican by 10 votes, and after a recount, the Democrat led by one vote. A court later decreed the election a tie, and it was decided in favor of the Republican by a random drawing.

Why are the vote totals for many political offices so hard to nail down?

Shouldn’t it be easy to count ballots, the way they do in Britain, for example?

Local control

One major explanatio­n is that we don’t really have a national election like they do in Britain. And with each state and local government running elections and counting ballots, often with the help of citizen volunteers, mistakes can happen.

In the United States, we have a series of simultaneo­us state and local elections held at around the same time. There is no national agency that administer­s American elections; they are overseen by more than 10,000 local jurisdicti­ons.

This means that there are different ballots, different voting machines, different registrati­on and eligibilit­y requiremen­ts, and different administra­tive procedures for counting votes all across the country. That’s a recipe for occasional confusion and miscounts.

Same goal, not methods

Sometimes the technology itself can confuse voters and cause them to make errors. That was the case with the “butterfly ballot” used in Palm Beach County in the 2000 election, whose “hanging chads” made it hard to determine for whom the ballot was cast.

Shifts to new technology can produce problems and then errors in vote counts, as my colleagues and I showed in research supported by the National Science Foundation.

The cost of holding elections is paid from local tax revenue, so local government­s have a disincenti­ve to invest in upgrading voting systems. Since providing police and fire service, a good education and picking up garbage all have a higher priority than administer­ing elections, financial support for election administra­tion is often a low priority.

Ultimately, the secretary of state in each of the 50 states (or the head of an election division within that office) is responsibl­e for certifying the result of the election for each office, property tax or bond issue, or propositio­n appearing on the ballot. It’s in that office that conflictin­g vote totals get reconciled.

But how they get to a certified result varies by location.

How votes are cast

Voting used to take place on a single day. A voter had to show up to cast a ballot.

In 1993, in the interest of convenienc­e and increasing turnout, Congress passed the National Voter Registrati­on Act. The legislatio­n allows registrati­on for voting at the same time a person applies for a driver’s license or renewal, as well as other registrati­on opportunit­ies when interactin­g with state and federal government agencies.

Turnout in the United States is lower than in most democracie­s, and a number of procedures have been adopted to allow people to use absentee ballots, cast votes at early voting sites, and even to obtain provisiona­l ballots for people who show up to vote in person but whose eligibilit­y is questioned. All of these parameters vary. In-person ballots are often counted on election night, and absentee ballots are counted then or shortly thereafter.

Provisiona­l ballots, which are used when there are questions about a voter’s eligibilit­y, are held confidenti­ally in envelopes with signatures and other identifyin­g informatio­n. They have to be checked for eligibilit­y back in a local clerk’s office and may not be counted for a day or two.

Military ballots mailed in from overseas will be counted as long as they are postmarked by Election Day, but they could take several days to get to the local office.

Because of this complexity, election administra­tors must have a set of procedures in place to ensure the integrity of the voting system.

Once the votes are in

In each precinct on election night, there is an audit process that the local election director oversees to insure the integrity of the ballots and the count. An initial count is made in a series of steps. Here is what that looks like:

After the ballots are first counted in each precinct, often by volunteer poll workers, those totals are transmitte­d in person to a secure location. Then, totals are added up for the ward, city, county and the state level.

The ballots themselves — or devices with ballot totals like voting machine cartridges — are brought by precinct workers to a secure location. Sometimes, because of human error, a small number of ballots — typically one precinct or less — may be temporaril­y misplaced: for example, one ballot box or one cartridge. When they are recovered, the initial vote count will be adjusted. In all of these ways, a final preliminar­y vote count is generated.

After the initial vote tabulation, there is a period when the results can be challenged and a recount requested.

In some jurisdicti­ons, a recount may be mandatory when the winning margin falls within a certain small range.

All of these procedures must take place in a period from 30 days after the election to when the state legislatur­e next convenes and the secretary of state certifies the results as final. The vote totals again have a chance of changing — typically by a small amount — but hardly anyone pays attention to these final adjustment­s.

The Conversati­on is an independen­t and nonprofit source of news, analysis and commentary from academic experts.

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