The News Herald (Willoughby, OH)

Dow surges 5% on hopes of help

- By Alex Veiga

The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared nearly 1,300 points, or 5%, as stocks roared back.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared nearly 1,300 points, or 5%, Monday as stocks roared back from a seven-day rout on hopes that central banks will take action to shield the global economy from the effects of the coronaviru­s outbreak.

The huge gains clawed back some of the ground lost last week in a massive sell-off that gave stocks their worst stretch since the financial crisis of 2008.

Technology companies led the broad gains, which gave the Dow its biggest-ever point gain and biggest percentage increase since March 2009. The S&P 500 index jumped 4.6%, its best day since December 2018.

European benchmarks were mostly higher, and Asian markets rose broadly.

Bond prices fell, pushing yields higher after having touched another record low earlier in the day. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 1.15% from 1.12% late Friday.

The virus outbreak that began in central China has been shutting down industrial centers, emptying shops and severely crimping travel all over the world. More companies are warning investors that their finances will take a hit because of disruption­s to supply chains and sales.

Amid the worsening outlook, investors are increasing­ly anticipati­ng that the Federal Reserve and other major central banks around the world will lower interest rates or take other steps to shield the global economy from the effects of the outbreak.

“Investors have convinced themselves that global central banks will likely be even more accommodat­ive in order to short-circuit any psychologi­cal damage, “said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA.

Bill Nelson, chief economist at the Bank Policy Institute and a former Fed economist, said the Fed and other major central banks, possibly including China’s, could announce coordinate­d rate cuts by Wednesday morning. The cut would at least be a half-point and perhaps even three-quarters, he said.

“The only way to get a positive market reaction is to deliver more than expected,” he said.

The Internatio­nal Monetary Fund and World Bank announced simultaneo­usly Monday that they are ready to help countries affected by the coronaviru­s through their emergency lending programs and other tools.

“We will use our available instrument­s to the fullest extent possible,” the IMF managing director, Kristalina Georgieva, and World Bank President David Malpass said in a joint statement. “Internatio­nal cooperatio­n is essential.”

And Christine Lagarde, the head of the European Central Bank, said Monday that Europe’s top monetary authority is ready to take “appropriat­e and targeted measures” if necessary to support the economy against the headwinds from the new coronaviru­s.

The statements echoed similar promises to act if necessary from the Federal Reserve on Friday and the Bank of Japan over the weekend. Traders have priced in a 100% probabilit­y that the Fed will cut rates by a half-percentage point during or before its March meeting.

One encouragin­g sign to traders is that the finance ministers and central bank leaders of the

Group of Seven major industrial countries will hold a conference call on Tuesday to discuss an economic response to the viral outbreak.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will lead the call. The group includes Japan, Germany, Britain, and France, among others. The G-7 often issues statements pledging cooperatio­n amid global economic turbulence.

There were signs that the economic impact was continuing to mount. A measure of China’s manufactur­ing output plunged last month to its lowest level on record, as the viral outbreak closed factories and disrupted supply chains.

Separately, economists at Goldman Sachs slashed their forecasts for U.S. growth to just 0.9% in the first quarter and to zero for the April-June quarter.

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