The Oklahoman

Scientists: 2016 warmest year on record

- BY SILAS ALLEN Staff Writer sallen@oklahoman.com

(2016) marks the third consecutiv­e year, and the fifth time in 12 years, that a global average temperatur­e record has fallen.

Global temperatur­es continued their steady march upward in 2016, once again breaking climate records, scientists announced Wednesday.

Last year was the warmest year on record, topping a previous record set in 2015, scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheri­c Administra­tion and NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies announced Wednesday.

It marks the third consecutiv­e year, and the fifth time in 12 years, that a global average temperatur­e record has fallen.

Oklahoma saw its thirdwarme­st year, with an average temperatur­e of 62.3 degrees, according to the Oklahoma Climatolog­ical Survey.

The state’s overall warmth for the year was driven in large part by temperatur­es that remained in the 80s and, in a few cases, the low 90s, well into November.

That unusual heat, combined with relatively meager rainfall, plunged some parts of the state into drought. About 72 percent of the state finished the year in drought, with about 46 percent of it being in severe or extreme drought, according to U.S. Drought Monitor records.

El Nino was a factor

Although last year’s record warmth was driven in part by a strong El Nino weather pattern that remained in effect at the beginning of the year, Gavin Schmidt, director of the NASA laboratory, said the pattern only accounted for about 10 percent of last year’s warmth.

The biggest factor, Schmidt said, was the ongoing global warming trend driven primarily by greenhouse gases.

The agencies’ findings are based on separate analyses of global temperatur­e data performed by researcher­s at each of the two agencies.

Reinforcin­g the two agencies’ conclusion­s are similar findings released Wednesday by other researcher­s, including a group of climate scientists at the University of California, Berkeley, and the Met Office, the British national weather and climate service.

Although the various studies use different methodolog­ies and show slightly varying results, each shows the same pattern: global temperatur­es have been climbing for decades and have increased sharply over the past five years. The studies are “all

singing the same song, even if they are hitting different notes along the way,” said Deke Arndt, chief of the monitoring branch at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmen­tal Informatio­n, based in Asheville, N.C.

Researcher­s at NASA placed last year’s global average temperatur­e at 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit above the 20th century average, while their counterpar­ts at NOAA placed 2016’s average at 1.69 degrees Fahrenheit above the 20th century average.

In a conference call with journalist­s, Schmidt said much of the difference in those findings comes from how the two agencies account for conditions in the Arctic Ocean, which saw drastic warmth in 2016.

The sea ice extent in the Arctic Ocean was about 12.6 percent below normal last year, the lowest level on record.

Although much of last year’s record warmth was concentrat­ed in the Arctic Ocean, its effects reached North America, including Oklahoma. The continenta­l United States saw its secondwarm­est year on record, and Alaska saw its warmest year, scientists said.

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