The Oklahoman

Spoiling for Canada fight, American dairy farmers push for Trump deal

- BY LYDIA MULVANY AND JEN SKERRITT Bloomberg

Blame Canada. That’s what U.S. farmers say about some of the bubbling gluts weighing on the milk market, and they are eager for President Donald Trump to do something about it.

While growers and exporters of U.S. crops and food products have expressed anxiety over Trump’s restrictiv­e immigratio­n policies and determinat­ion to renegotiat­e trade deals, dairies see him as an opportunit­y to crack what they see as Canada’s protection­ist milk practices and to help ease oversupply in some regions.

A key battlegrou­nd is the little known market for ultrafilte­red milk, a concentrat­ed ingredient used to boost protein content in cheese and yogurt. Canada is creating incentives for processors to buy from domestic manufactur­ers. U.S. producers say that could be a disaster, and they allege the new policy would violate trade agreements. Companies in Wisconsin and New York alone might lose $150 million in sales north of the border.

Canada “seems to want to have the free flow of goods south, but are protective of anything going north, so it’s time to sit down and talk,” said Kevin Ellis, chief executive officer of Cayuga Milk Ingredient­s in Auburn, New York. The company exports $30 million a year of ultrafilte­red milk to Canada. “My hope is that the Trump administra­tion takes them on.”

Losses up north

The view is different from the Dairy Farmers of Canada. The Ottawabase­d industry group, which represents 12,000 farms, says imports of U.S. ultrafilte­red milk causes an estimated $176 million in annual losses for domestic producers. Under the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement, which Trump has lambasted as “the worst trade deal ever,” most U.S. dairy products face duties of as much as 300 percent. Ultrafilte­red milk wasn’t part of those rules and arrives in Canada without tariffs.

Any restrictio­n on exports is bad news for American dairy producers, who saw cash receipts drop to a sixyear low of $34.2 billion, U.S. Department of Agricultur­e data show. Low prices and global surpluses have hurt the entire U.S. farm economy, with net income forecast to drop for a fourth straight year in 2017.

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