The Oklahoman

US trails other developed nations in curbing COVID-19 deaths

- By Michelle Fay Cortez

The proportion of Americans dying f rom coronaviru­s infections is the highest in the developed world, according to a study of global mortality rates that shows the U.S. pandemic response left citizens exposed to the lethal disease.

Early in the outbreak, the U.S. mortality rate from C OVID -19 was lower than in many other hard-hit countries, including the U.K., Spain and the Netherland­s, according to the report Monday in the Journal of the American Medical Associatio­n. But as spring turned to summer, the U.S. largely failed to embrace public health and policy measures that have helped other countries reduce death rates.

If U.S. deaths after May 10 had occurred at the same pace as in Spain, the U.S. mortality rate would be 47% lower, with 93,247 fewer people dying, the report found. More than 100,000 fewer Americans would have died if the U.S. had the same mortality rate as the Netherland­s. Sweden's mortality rate was 22% lower, though it took fewer steps to curb the virus's spread.

The U.S. leads the world in total coronaviru­s deaths, with 214,776 as of Monday, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. Brazil ranks second with 150,488 deaths.

America' s failure to control the outbreak is forecast to be costly. When lost output and health set backs are taken into account, the economic toll of the pandemic is expected to exceed $16 trillion, or about 90% of U.S. annual gross domestic product, according to a separate report in JAMA on Monday.

Other ripple effects are also expected. On average, nine family members are affected by the loss of each person who dies of COVID- 19 in the U.S ., creating a pool of 2 million mourners, according to another article in JAMA by psychiatri­sts from NYU Gross man School of Medicine.

No country has an effective vaccine, treatments or hospitals that give them an ad vanta ge over there st of the world, said Ezekiel Emanuel, vice provost for global initiative­s at the University of Pennsylvan­ia. The difference comes down to each country's response, he said.

Since the global chaos of the virus's first wave abated, “it's quite clear that the United States has been worse than every other country, including high mortality countries, in responding to the outbreak,” Emanuel said. “That has produced tens of thousands, if not 100,000 deaths from COVID.”

Researcher­s compared deaths per 100,000 people in Organizati­on for Economic Co-operation and Developmen­t nations with population­s exceeding 5 million and per capita gross domestic product of $ 25,000 or more.

An update of another study conducted earlier this year suggests the U.S. also hasn't corralled excess mortality associated with the pandemic. The analysis takes into account factors such as a decline in fatal motorvehic­le accidents and increased deaths from delayed treatment for heart attacks and strokes.

The number of U.S. deaths caused directly or indirectly by the pandemic is 20% higher than the public counts of virus deaths detailed daily in the news, said Steven Woolf, director emeritus of the Center on Society and Health at Virginia Commonweal­th University in Richmond. Wolf said excess deaths occurred mainly in states that reopened earlier and experience­d outbreaks that persisted into the summer.

“It's one thing to look in the rearview mirror,” Woolf said .“Looking forward, it seems important for national leadership to recognize that easing restrictio­ns in the midst of a national pandemic is just going to delay control of transmissi­on and not only prolong the death toll, but the ripple effects on our economy.”

States like Florida, Texas and Arizona that opened earlier also suffered longer, with excess deaths rising for more than 16 weeks.

States including New York and New Jersey that were hit early and took aggressive measures saw mortality rates recover in less than 10 weeks, Woolf said.

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