The Oklahoman

Interestin­g scenarios remain in Big 12 race

- Berry Tramel

OSU has had some heartbreak­ing Bedlam losses in recent years: 48-47 in 2018, 62-52 in 2017, overtime in 2012.

OSU also has had some let's-get-this-overwith Bedlam losses: 41-13 a week ago, 58-23 in 2015, 27-0 in 2009.

Doesn't really matter how you lose, they all count the same. Until they don't.

And they might not all count the same in 2020. In this crazy season, it might come down not just to whether you won or lost, but how many you lost by.

The Big 12 football race hits the homestretc­h, with just two Saturdays left before the Big 12 Championsh­ip Game. Consider this scenario.

OU wins out to finish 7-2. The Sooners will be a big favorite at home over Baylor and solid favorites at West

Virginia.

OSU wins out to finish 7-2. The Cowboys will be solid favorites at TCU and at Baylor.

West Virginia wins at Iowa State. Not likely, but possible. The Mountainee­rs are playing much better.

Texas loses at Kansas State. Not likely, but possible. The Longhorns might have checked it in. Offensive tackle Samuel Cosmi, a projected firstround draft pick, has left the team to concentrat­e on the NFL Draft.

If those events happen, the Big 12 title game participan­ts will be determined by margin of victory.

We would have a threeway tie for first among OU, OSU and Iowa State at 7-2, and each would be 1-1 against the other tied teams.

We would have a threeway tie for fourth among West Virginia, Kansas State and Texas, and the firstplace teams would each be 2-1 against the fourth-place teams, which is the next criteria.

All three first-place teams would have beaten the seventh-, eighth-, ninth-and 10th-place teams.

Which brings us down to point differenti­al. Iowa State beat OU 37-30, OSU beat Iowa State 24-21 and OU beat OSU 41-13. So the Sooners would be plus-21, the Cyclones plus-four and the Cowboys minus-25.

Setting up an OU-Iowa State title game.

The message is clear in college football. Never take your foot off the gas. Run up the score as much as possible.

I don't like margin-of-victory criteria anymore than you do, but I don't have an easy answer for the Big 12. Roundrobin schedule, top two teams play for the title? Unbreakabl­e three-way ties are bound to arise once a decade or so.

The Big 12 twice had memorable three-way ties back in the divisional days and relied on the Bowl Championsh­ip Series records to break the deadlock, when head-tohead failed. In 2008, OU, Texas and Texas Tech each were 7-1. In 2010, OU, OSU and Texas A&M each were 6-2.

The BCS picked OU both years. The BCS, like the current College Football Playoff, had a thing for the Sooners.

But the Big 12 can't wait on the committee rankings. The BCS was a Sunday reveal back in the day, usually around noon. You can live with finding out the title-game combatants at noon Sunday. You can't live with finding out the title-game combatants at 6:15 p.m. Tuesday, ESPN's preferred time slot for the playoff rankings.

And besides, the analytics crowd could figure out the BCS rankings in advance. Humans are much less reliable.

So margin of victory is the lesser of all evils. Blind draw, longest drought on title-game appearance­s, best-looking uniforms. Not a lot of good options.

And besides, margin of victory is a hallmark of college football. This always has been a someone-decides sport. From the old polls to the BCS to now the committee, college football's champion or championsh­ip format long has been determined or partly-determined by opinion.

Golf, tennis, the NFL, baseball, heck, almost every other sport, shakes its head at such a culture. Winning hasn't always been enough in college football. Winning with style always has been part of the process.

Look at some of the catch phrases from the playoff committee chairmen over the years. Look at some of the statistica­l-based statements from 2020 committee chairman Gary Barta used just last week.

“Cincinnati is in the top 20 both in scoring offense and scoring defense.”

OU's “early losses were, I think, by a total of 10 points.”

Marshall is “in the top seven or eight offensive and defensive categories.”

The message could not be more clear. Run it up. If you've got 600 yards in the third quarter, try to have 800 yards by the end of the fourth quarter. Lose close and win big. College football opinion goes beyond who you played and whether you won or lost. It's how you looked in doing so.

If the Big 12 football standings are determined by margin of victory, it will be standard operating procedure for college football.

Berry Tramel: Berry can be reached at 405-7608080 or at btramel@oklahoman.com. He can be heard Monday through Friday from 4:40-5:20 p.m. on The Sports Animal radio network, including FM-98.1. You can also view his personalit­y page at oklahoman.com/berrytrame­l. Support his work and that of other Oklahoman journalist­s

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