The Oneida Daily Dispatch (Oneida, NY)

Columnists share their thoughts

- Jonah Goldberg The National Review Jonah Goldberg holds the Asness Chair in applied liberty at the American Enterprise Institute and is a columnist for the Los Angeles Times.

Find out what people have to say about local and national issues.

It’s easy to miss, given how polarized our politics are, but there is a growing consensus around a very big issue: China.

Foreign policy experts, military leaders and politician­s across the ideologica­l spectrum all tend to agree that a new era of confrontat­ion with China has begun. Many on the right have been calling for a Coldwar approach to China for a while now. But the idea, if not always the term “Coldwar,” is widely held among Democrats, too.

President- elect Joe Biden, once dismissive about the Chinese threat, now concedes that the country poses a “special challenge” to the U.S.

It’s worth dispelling a common misunderst­anding. Just because there’s a broad consensus around an issue doesn’t mean people won’t fight about it.

Indeed, some of the greatest political fights are driven by broad agreement on a problem. The best illustrati­on of this point was the Coldwar itself.

Contrary to rhetoric from rabid anti- communists from1945 to 1989, most Democrats were not pro- Soviet. Some, such as presidents Truman, Kennedy and Johnson, were downright hawkish on the USSR. Some Democrats were “soft” on communism. Henry wallace, FDR’S second vice president, was so soft you could say he was supine.

But for themost part, therewas broad agreement that the Soviet Union posed a serious threat to the United States and thewest.

The arguments among policymake­rs were over what to do about it, and they were intense. Looking back at the tumult over the Vietnamwar, a decidedly Coldwar conflict, or the debates over M cc ar thy is m—not to mention U.S. nuclear policy or aid to the Nicaraguan Contras under Ronald Reagan — you could be forgiven for thinking there was no consensus at all.

Another complicati­ng factor: Conceptual­ly, communism, Marxism and socialism, as well as related arguments about anti- Americanis­mand anti- imperialis­m, had significan­t purchase among many American and western intellectu­als, actors, academics and writers. Some were pro- Soviet— some were even spies! — but most of them just worked from a set of assumption­s based on the childish notion that anyone who said America was wrong had to be at least a little right.

This intellectu­al divide made the political consensus seem more fragile than it was.

That’s one reason I’m skeptical of the idea that our confrontat­ion with China will or should resemble the Coldwar. The Soviet Union was a romantic fixation for many American leftists, most intensely inthe 1920s and 1930s, but its halflife endured until the fall of the Soviet Union. In 1919, writer Lincoln Steffens visited the Soviet Union and declared, “I have seen the future; and it works.”

Almost seven decades later, a fringe socialist mayor from vermont named Bernie Sanders visited moscow on his honeymoon and returned to say something similar.

While China held considerab­le appeals to some intellectu­als in the 1990s — the New York Times’ Thomas Friedman wrote fawningly about the benefits of Chinese authoritar­ianism — that’s pretty much over now. The Soviets could convert Americans into spies because those Americans were true believers. China has spies in America. ( See the recent controvers­y over a female operative who reportedly tried to compromise various American politician­s, including Rep. Eric Swalwell, D- Calif.)

But the currency of Chinese espionage appears to be, well, currency, as in money — with a little sex and blackmail thrown in.

In other words, China is definitely an adversary, but it isn’t really an ideologica­l competitor the way the Soviet Union was.

But that doesn’t mean confrontin­g China will necessaril­y be easier, just different.

For starters, the Chinese commitment tomarxism- Leninism is nonexisten­t save in one regard: the supremacy of the Communist Party. I shouldn’t have to note that a party chock- a- block with millionair­es and billionair­es isn’t actually communist. Also, China’s systemof ethnic apartheid and persecutio­n doesn’t fit the identity politics prism that sees bigotry as a uniquely white problem.

China’s ruling ideology is much better understood as nationalis­tic, with bits of oligarchy, aristocrac­y, racism and imperialis­m thrown in. It ismore comparable to early 20th century would- be hegemons such as Germany and Japan. This creates a whole set of challenges not easily fitted to our 20th century Coldwar struggle with an evil empire that did us the favor of embracing economic doctrines that kept it immiserate­d and crippled technologi­cal adaptation and innovation. The Communist Party’s strength is that it can actually claim to have delivered prosperity ( albeit at an inhuman cost).

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