The Palm Beach Post

Democrat’s win in Pa. vote shows how toxic Trump is

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President Trump put his political standing on the line in western Pennsylvan­ia’s special congressio­nal election Tuesday. He lost.

Republican­s and their allies threw every attack in their political arsenal at Democrat Conor Lamb. They apparently fell short. The GOP found that its big corporate tax cut had scant appeal in a district that had voted for Trump by nearly 20 points. They pulled ads on their major achievemen­t.

Many blue-collar voters seemed interested in coming back to their old Democratic loyalties after years of straying Republican.

Lamb, a pro-union Marine veteran with deep roots in Pennsylvan­ia’s 18th District, opened the door for them to return home after a long time away.

Lamb’s showing against Republican Rick Saccone — Lamb led by 641 votes with almost all of the votes counted — broadened the Democrats’ opportunit­ies in this fall’s midterm elections.

Republican­s are vulnerable even in Trump’s 2016 heartland.

The main path for a Democratic takeover of the House runs through Republican-held districts where Hillary Clinton defeated or lost only narrowly to Trump in 2016. But Lamb demonstrat­ed that more moderate Democrats could harvest antiTrump votes without waging an anti-Trump campaign.

Lamb didn’t have to cast himself as a Trump backlash candidate because he was certain to win the president’s energized foes. So he was free to say — as he did in a highly discipline­d appearance on MSNBC’s “Morning

Joe” Wednesday morning — that he wanted to work with Trump. Lamb cast himself as a unifier and criticized both House Speaker Paul Ryan and Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi for presiding “over a time when we’ve had more and more gridlock and fewer and fewer important things getting done.”

Lamb combined the politics of 2018 with the appeals of a much earlier era, when blue-collar districts tilted Democratic and unions could help deliver their members against anti-labor Republican­s.

Lamb built up a large majority in the Pittsburgh suburbs in Allegheny County where Trump was clearly a drag on the GOP. But he also posted gains in more rural and small town parts of the district. Lamb not only ran far ahead of Clinton; he bested Barack Obama’s 2012 showing as well.

Daniel Nichanian, a postdoctor­al fellow in political science at the University of Chicago, reported that in the parts of the district that are in Westmorela­nd County, Trump had prevailed by 34 percentage points. Lamb cut Saccone’s margin to 15 points.

Democrats will not be able to re-create everywhere the nearly perfect match between candidate and district that Lamb represente­d.

Nonetheles­s, Lamb’s breakthrou­gh should petrify Republican­s. The staunchest anti-Trump voters are clearly prepared to vote for Democratic candidates no matter their ideology.

Trump’s grip on less affluent voters has clearly weakened. This is also a sign that many of his 2016 supporters were casting ballots more against Hillary Clinton than for him.

But November’s vote will not be a referendum on Clinton. It will very much be a judgment on Trump. And we’ve seen in one contest after another how lethal he is to his party.

He writes for the Washington Post.

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