The Palm Beach Post

Stocks rise on economy news

Retail sales and unemployme­nt claims encouragin­g.

- By Stan Choe

NEW YORK — U.S. stocks mostly rose Thursday, as markets get accustomed to the idea of investing with less of a safety net from central banks around the world.

The European Central Bank laid out its plan to pull back from the stimulus it’s pumped into markets, but it also said it plans to hold off on raising interest rates for longer than some investors expected.

More evidence arrived that the U.S. economy is improving, meanwhile, which helped send the S&P 500 to its fourth gain in the last five days.

For years since the Great Recession, central banks around the world have thrown massive amounts of stimulus at markets, chiefly through the purchase of billions of dollars of bonds each month.

That era neared its end after Europe’s central bank said it will begin phasing out its bond-buying program in the autumn before ceasing it after December.

The European Central Bank also said it will hold off on raising interest rates until at least the summer of 2019, which was more accommodat­ive than some investors had expected.

Its U.S. counterpar­t, the Federal Reserve, has already halted bond purchases and has increased interest rates seven times since late 2015. Its latest move came Wednesday, when it raised its benchmark rate by another quarter of a percentage point and indicated two more increases may come this year thanks to the improving economy.

Higher rates can stave off inflation, but they can also hinder economic growth.

“It is momentous because you’re moving to something more normal,” said Brent Schutte, chief investment strategist at Northweste­rn Mutual Wealth Management. “At the same time, you’re moving grudgingly toward that. Central banks around the world are going to err toward being more accommodat­ive, and they don’t want to cause a market shock.”

Both the Fed and the ECB have said that their next moves will depend on what the economic data says, and if growth is strong enough, they’ll raise rates more quickly.

That could make markets around the world more volatile, Schutte said, as investors handicap what each weekly or monthly economic report means for interest rates.

On Thursday, the data for the U.S. economy were nearly uniformly encouragin­g.

Retail sales jumped in May after shoppers spent more at home and garden stores, gas stations and restaurant­s. It was the strongest gain in six months, and it fits with economists’ projection­s that economic growth is picking up following a slowdown during the first quarter of the year.

A separate report showed that fewer U.S. workers filed for unemployme­nt claims last week than expected, an encouragin­g sign for the labor market.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 2.93 percent from 2.98 percent late Wednesday. It gave up gains from the prior day, when the Federal Reserve surprised some investors by speeding up its timetable for rate increases.

Lower interest rates can hurt banks by crimping the profit they make from making loans. Financial stocks in the S&P 500 fell 0.9 percent for the biggest loss among the 11 sectors that make up the index.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States