Consumer spending grows solidly
Household purchases post fourth straight healthy advance in June.
An increase in Americans’ spending in June highlighted strength in the biggest part of the U.S. economy on the back of steady income growth and elevated confidence. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, while not accelerating, exceeded its goal on an annual basis for the third time in four months.
The firmer price data and resil- ient spending and wage growth will likely keep U.S. central bankers on the path of gradual interest rate increases. No hike is expected after this week’s meetings. Here are the details released Tuesday.
Household purchases posted a fourth-straight solid advance in June, climbing 0.4 percent after an upwardly revised 0.5 percent gain, according to Commerce Department figures. Incomes also rose 0.4 percent in June, matching the May increase. Previously released data had already shown that con- sumption, which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy, was in solid shape last quarter, and the latest monthly details reaffirmed that this driver of growth was on firm ground entering the second half of 2018.
The Commerce report also showed the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — tied to consumption — rose 0.1 percent after the previous month’s 0.2 percent gain. It rose 2.2 percent on a year-over-year basis, the same as in May. Excluding food and energy, so-called core prices climbed 0.1 percent from the previous month and were up 1.9 percent from June 2017, just short of a 2 percent median projection in the Bloomberg survey.
Firmer inflation may limit faster advances in workers’ wherewithal to spend even as lower taxes are helping them.
The Commerce figures showed disposable income, or earnings adjusted for taxes and inflation, rose 0.3 percent in June, the most since March.
A separate report from the L abor Department indic ated employers are offering better compensation packages amid an ongoing shortage of qualified workers. The employment cost index rose 2.8 percent in the second quarter from a year ago, the biggest jump since the third quarter of 2008 and a fresh high for this expansion. Wages and salaries climbed 2.8 percent yearover-year, also the most since 2008. Benefits costs advanced 2.9 percent, the largest gain since late 2011.
The reports are in sync with the view that worker pay has been only slowly advancing even as hiring remains strong and unemployment hovers near the lowest rate since 1969.