The Register Citizen (Torrington, CT)

Jamie Dimon right to raise the alarm

- By Mohamed A. El-Erian

Put in a proper context, the comments speak to four consequent­ial realities in the U.S. and global economies.

The blunt remarks by Jamie Dimon, the highly successful chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, during a conference call on July 14, have triggered a wide range of reactions, from supportive to accusation­s that he is anti-patriotic:

“It’s almost an embarrassm­ent be an American citizen traveling around the world and listening to the stupid s--- we have to deal with in this country and at one point we all have to get our act together.”

Put in a proper context, the comments speak to four consequent­ial realities in the U.S. and global economies:

• Dimon’s main worry, which is rightly shared by many in this country, is that by unnecessar­ily increasing contextual uncertaint­y and delaying the implementa­tion of sensible economic policies, political gridlock in Washington has for years undermined growth, made it less inclusive, and denied many Americans the higher level of prosperity that is both desirable and feasible.

• Dimon was correct in observing during the call that, despite the “dysfunctio­n” in Washington, the U.S. economy has still managed to deliver annual growth in the 1.5 percent to 2 percent range — an outcome that illustrate­s the resilience of the private sector. Yet the longer this low growth equilibriu­m persists, the greater the downward pressure on the country’s potential and its future prosperity.

• Given the role and importance of the U.S. in an interconne­cted global economy, much of the rest of the world — and especially America’s friends and allies — has gone from looking at this situation with curiosity and bemusement to confusion and concern. For decades, America’s traditiona­l values, institutio­ns and entreprene­urship have been the source of inspiratio­n for efforts to improve the well-being of many people around the world. And America remains a very important growth locomotive for the global economy, and its most important anchor of financial stability.

• American credibilit­y and leadership still form the most critical elements for effective global policy coordinati­on. Without them, the global economy will be subject to the uncertaint­ies and challenges that come with greater fragmentat­ion pressures, including the redefiniti­on of regional economic orders that will be difficult to add up well at the internatio­nal level.

It is one thing for foreign business and government leaders to express concern about the damage of U.S. political dysfunctio­n. It is quite another for such comments to come from one of the country’s most influentia­l and respected CEOs. In doing so, Dimon rang an alarm bell about both foregone opportunit­ies at home and eroding influence internatio­nally.

The timing of Dimon’s remarks also was important.

Delays in formulatin­g and passing pro-growth legislatio­n (such as tax reform and infrastruc­ture investment­s), together with the diminishin­g effectiven­ess of Federal Reserve policies in continuing to buy time for the economy, exposes the U.S. to a higher risk of a downward drift. The low level of global policy coordinati­on, as illustrate­d most recently by the outcome of the G-20 meeting in Germany, would make the potential economic, political and social consequenc­es of such a move even more disturbing were it to occur.

Rather than dismiss Dimon’s remarks as anti-patriotic and the product of an unfortunat­e outburst, the nation would be best served if they were to provide a wakeup call for Washington, which remains divided, distracted and continues to fall short in stepping up to its important economic governance responsibi­lities.

“It’s almost an embarrassm­ent be an American citizen traveling around the world and listening to the stupid s- - we have to deal with in this country and at one point we all have to get our act together.” — Jamie Dimon, chief executive of JPMorgan Chase

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