The Saratogian (Saratoga, NY)

Don’t forget the kids of Newtown, Conn.

- E.J. DIONNE JR. E.J. Dionne Jr. is a syndicated columnist with the Washington Post Writers Group. Readers may email him at ejdionne@ washpost.com.

The gun lobby and the weapons merchants are counting on our notoriousl­y short national attention span. They are counting on confusion, obfuscatio­n and the quiet mobilizati­on of allies to create one delay after another. Their hope is to keep Congress from acting quickly to protect children and other innocent Americans from gun rampages. The longer we wait, the less likely we are to act. See: short national attention span.

They are counting on President Obama— despite his forceful promise Wednesday of action — to avoid putting the full muscle of his administra­tion behind a broad and bold set of measures to end our culture of violence.

They are counting on progressiv­e interest groups to fight among themselves over whether gun safety is more important than, say, immigratio­n reform and climate change. There is nothing like setting allies against each other to turn their energies away from a central goal.

They are counting on the hardened cynicism of Washington insiders who say it doesn’t matter that 20?children are dead. The gun lobby always wins in the end, they’ll growl, and it’s naive to pretend otherwise. Hope is for chumps.

They are counting on the Democrats’ desire to maintain control of the Senate and the fact that, in 2014, Harry Reid’s party is defending seats in states that have been bastions of opposition to gun legislatio­n — Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana and South Dakota, to name a few. Sure, the National Rifle Associatio­n is on its heels now, but the political consultant­s will warn about the millions it will spend the fall after next.

They are counting on the NRA’s success in embedding itself into the DNA of the Republican Party and the modern conservati­ve movement. When the NRA talks, conservati­ves listen — and do its bidding.

Many politician­s on the right will make sympatheti­c public sounds now about the people of Newtown, Conn. But out of public view, they will keep legislatio­n bottled up in congressio­nal committees. They will insist that we wait for “careful studies” before doing anything. They will talk a mile a minute about mental health funding— even if they have voted to cut such funding in the past.

Do you doubt this? The NRA’s board is a who’s who of conservati­ve leaders, politician­s and celebritie­s. A partial list: Grover Norquist, John Bolton, Ollie North, David Keene, Chuck Norris, Ted Nugent, Larry Craig, Jim Gilmore, Ken Blackwell and Joe Allbaugh. (By the way, some of these folks once talked a lot about “homeland security.”) Too many conservati­ves have been complicit in selling their movement off to gun lobbyists.

Yet seeing the obstacles is a first step toward getting past them. I am hearing hopeful noises from the immigratio­n-reform and climate-change camps that their leaders understand that acting against gun violence must take priority — and that moving first on guns need not set back their own causes. Such solidarity will be essential.

Genuinely inspiring are the number of traditiona­lly pro-NRA politician­s who know that Newtown must end business as usual on guns— and have said so. The witness of Sen. Joe Manchin, a West Virginia Democrat who is as progun as they get, is more valuable than 1 million words from liberal columnists. He spoke three simple sentences on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” that swept aside years of disingenuo­us NRA propaganda that bans on assault weapons and large magazines are threats to law-abiding gun owners.

“I’ve never had more than three shells in a clip,” Manchin said Monday. “Sometimes you don’t get more than one shot anyway at a deer. You know, it’s common sense.” Where American gun policy is concerned, common sense would be nothing short of revolution­ary. Here’s hoping Manchin stays his course.

As for the president, it’s imperative that he continue to set aside the counsel of aides who fear his getting embroiled in a big fight over guns. Instead, he must realize he has a his- toric opportunit­y as great as the one he seized in passing health-care reform.

In 1996, after a mass shooting left 35 dead, Australia’s conservati­ve and proudly convention­al prime minister, John Howard, presided over a National Firearms Agreement that fundamenta­lly altered his country’s relationsh­ip to such weapons. And it’s working.

The lesson of Australia is that Obama will lose only if he fails to grasp this once-in-a-lifetime chance to put a permanent end to our debilitati­ng passivity in the face of gun violence. Neither he nor we can allow our attention to waver until the task is completed.

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