The Saratogian (Saratoga, NY)

Insights From Warren Buffett

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Billionair­e Warren Buffett publishes letters to shareholde­rs annually that are always full of business and investing insights — and some about life. You’ll find dozens of years’ worth at BerkshireH­athaway.com. Here are a few nuggets:

• 1992: “... the only value of stock forecaster­s is to make fortunetel­lers look good. Even now, (my partner) Charlie (Munger) and I continue to believe that short-term market forecasts are poison and should be kept locked up in a safe place, away from children and also from grown-ups who behave in the market like children. However, it is clear that stocks cannot forever overperfor­m their underlying businesses, as they have so dramatical­ly done for some time ...”

• 1994: “... it is not necessary to do extraordin­ary things to get extraordin­ary results.”

• 1997: “If a CEO is enthused about a particular­ly foolish acquisitio­n, both his internal staff and his outside advisers will come up with whatever projection­s are needed to justify his stance. Only in fairy tales are emperors told that they are naked.”

• 2002: “Charlie and I not only don’t know today what our businesses will earn next year — we don’t even know what they will earn next quarter . ... Managers that always promise to ‘make the numbers’ will at some point be tempted to make up the numbers.”

• 2010: “... look around you and see a world beyond the dreams of any colonial citizen. Now, as in 1776, 1861, 1932 and 1941, America’s best days lie ahead.”

• 2017: “Our aversion to leverage has dampened our returns over the years. But Charlie and I sleep well. Both of us believe it is insane to risk what you have and need in order to obtain what you don’t need.”

• 2017: “There is simply no telling how far stocks can fall in a short period. Even if your borrowings are small ... your mind may well become rattled by scary headlines and breathless commentary. And an unsettled mind will not make good decisions.”

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