The Signal

Wildfires rage on, so does new home constructi­on

- Joe GUZZARDI Joe Guzzardi is a California­ns for Population Stabilizat­ion Senior Writing Fellow. Contact him at joeguzzard­i@capsweb.org. Follow him on Twitter @joeguzzard­i19.

California’s Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (Cal Fire), which oversees the state’s 31 million acres of privately owned wildlands, said the raging and ongoing wildfires rank among the worst in the state’s history.

With weather forecasts calling for higher temperatur­es, lower humidity and gusting winds, conditions are ideal for more death and destructio­n. More than 300 square miles have burned in Northern California, and about 6,000 buildings have been destroyed, as 11,000 firefighte­rs have battled flames. As of Sunday, the confirmed death toll stood at 40, but with hundreds missing, the total could go higher. The fatalities represent the most lost lives since 29 perished in the 1933 Griffith Park Fire in Los Angeles.

Wineries, homes and other structures in picturesqu­e Napa and Sonoma Counties have burned. Reuters reported that victims needing medical attention face long delays. At least 40 Sonoma County physicians lost their homes in the fires, and medical assistance crews are shorthande­d. Containmen­t is not expected soon.

Economists estimate that before the final fire is extinguish­ed, California’s economy could suffer as much as $100 billion in losses. In turn, the losses will adversely affect California’s bond ratings which means higher interest payments on the state’s debt, and a possible state tax increase to offset lost revenue.

To California­ns, devastatin­g wildfires, related deaths and land loss are sadly familiar. Since 2001 when the National Interagenc­y Fire Center began keeping precise records, and through 2016, more than 8,000 fires have raged, and burned through an estimated ten million acres.

But lessons that California’s leaders should have learned from past disasters haven’t sunk in. Wildfires are difficult to control, but slower growth could minimize the inevitable destructio­n.

California’s exploding population has created an insatiable housing demand. The state is now home to nearly 40 million residents, and demographe­rs anticipate more than 50 million by 2050.

That demand has spawned what’s called “Wild-Land Urban Interface” or inter-mix, low density housing built on hillsides amidst highly flammable vegetation. In his interview with The Washington

Post, Jonathan Cox, battalion chief with Cal Fire, labeled increasing­ly popular intermix constructi­on a “recipe for disaster.”

Cox explained that areas in California that 20 years ago would have been undevelope­d are today inter-mix communitie­s. The vast inter-mix square acreage plus the frequency and intensity of fires turn homes into tinderboxe­s, and makes access for rescue crews difficult.

Fire codes require inter-mix housing to have fire-resistant roofs, noncombust­ible siding and 100 feet of clearance between vegetation and structures. Still, Cox said, fighting tactics for vegetation and for structure fires are fundamenta­lly different. The challenge becomes greater when fires are on slopes and hills.

Governor Jerry Brown, U.S. Senators Dianne Feinstein and Kamala Harris toured the disaster areas last weekend, and promised to find the victims more federal funding. But California remains 100 percent committed to more growth, and to more building to accommodat­e growth.

Earlier this month, Brown signed 15 bills that will accelerate developmen­t. While the legislatio­n is designed to ease the affordable housing shortage and not necessaril­y written for inter-mix constructi­on, some of the bills eliminate public hearings and environmen­tal impact studies.

Wherever open spaces can be found, Sacramento wants edifices.

To Brown, et al: Slow down! Direct more attention to family planning. Use your considerab­le leverage as the most influentia­l politician­s in the largest U.S. state to lower immigratio­n which, by definition, slows population growth.

Overdevelo­ped California needs governance that recognizes its density crisis, and legislates accordingl­y.

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