The Signal

Looking Past Dismal Jobs Report

- Joe GUZZARDI COMMENTARY

For the second consecutiv­e month, Wall Street analysts and media business forecaster­s badly missed the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ job creation total.

Dow Jones projected 500,000 new jobs for September, compared to the 194,000 new jobs reported by the Joe Biden administra­tion. Television commentato­rs were aghast at their second straight whiff – in August, the socalled experts predicted 720,000 new jobs, while the economy created just 235,000 jobs.

No surprise that COVID-19 took the brunt of the blame for the steep declines, particular­ly among workers in education and local/ state employment, but also among bus drivers, food service workers and substitute teachers. Another variable that added to the dismal September results was the disappeara­nce from the labor force of many older, low-wage workers still fearful about COVID-19 and its delta variant.

A historic 11 million jobs are open and available. As far as the economy and job creation are concerned, the U.S. is still in COVID-19’s grasp.

“We’re hiring” signs are everywhere, yet few workers have stepped up to fill the jobs. Although openings are at or near an all-time record, one hurdle to attracting employees is that many of the positions require in-person work for constructi­on, hospitalit­y, delivery services or warehousin­g, the exact types of jobs too many Americans shun in the current environmen­t.

Thanks to the pandemic fear that the government and scaremonge­ring media have instilled in the general public, potential workers continue to stay away from close-contact employment. Consequent­ly, most job seekers are hopeful of finding mostly unavailabl­e remote work. A recent review of the ZipRecruit­er website found that only one in 10 postings offered remote employment.

When workers are in short supply, the clarion call for more immigratio­n inevitably follows. Bill Kristol, for example, once a conservati­ve, now a Democrat, and always an immigratio­n advocate, put out a tweet that proclaimed immigratio­n could solve the economy’s employment doldrums. Kristol wrote: “We can debate infrastruc­ture, tax policy, government spending, etc. But it’s not a close call as to the one thing that would do the most for our economy across the board: More immigratio­n. Both ‘skilled’ and ‘unskilled.’ Which the Administra­tion and Congress have done nothing on.”

Well – not exactly nothing. Kristol must not be paying attention to the immigratio­n news. Encouragin­g illegal immigratio­n, bringing Afghan evacuees to the U.S. and raising the refugee cap are definitely something. Soon the U.S. will have a worker surplus. The 15,000 Haitians who surged the border, the 50,000 or more Afghanista­n evacuees and the 125,000 refugees that Biden has committed to for fiscal 2021-22, and the 2 million released-at-the-border illegal aliens will inevitably receive employment authorizat­ion.

Also on their way to compete for jobs are the annual 1 millionplu­s legal immigrants who, as part of their permanent residency, receive lifetime valid work permits. Finally, add about 700,000 guest workers who traditiona­lly enter the U.S. to perform jobs that range from medical doctors to agricultur­e-based employees.

The approximat­ely 1 million legal and 2 million illegal immigrants, the evacuees, the refugees and the guest workers will go a long way to making Kristol and the immigratio­n lobby’s dreams come true. And if Congress passes the reconcilia­tion bill it’s kicking around, about 8 million more aliens will be granted amnesty, receive legal status and work permits. COVID-19 restrictio­ns could impact the foreign-born arrivals, but illegal immigrant amnesty candidates already represent several million work permits.

High immigratio­n and the lower wages immigrants earn harm those who can least withstand economic setbacks – American Blacks, Hispanics, other minorities, the disabled, recently arrived low-skilled legal immigrants and others without a college degree.

More immigratio­n, regardless of how much it may hurt Americans who fund it, is the blueprint the Biden administra­tion has, to the disappoint­ment of most, chosen to follow, and is committed to.

Joe Guzzardi is a Progressiv­es for Immigratio­n Reform analyst. His column is distribute­d by Cagle Cartoons newspaper syndicate.

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