The Sun (Lowell)

With Baker’s exit, two-party rule will cease

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Gov. Charlie Baker’s decision not to seek a third term creates consequenc­es that go far beyond the race to be his successor.

It fundamenta­lly alters the political balancing act that Republican governors have successful­ly maintained with the dominant Democratic Party for the last 30 years.

It’s no understate­ment to say that Baker’s departure from the political scene marks the end of era — a time when Republican­s in the corner office wielded a moderating influence over an increasing­ly liberal Democratic­controlled Legislatur­e.

That’s the leadership model Baker inherited from his GOP gubernator­ial predecesso­rs, starting with Bill Weld in 1991.

Interrupte­d only by Deval Patrick’s two terms (20072015), Republican­s Weld,

Paul Cellucci, Jane Swift and Mitt Romney forged a collegial, profession­al relationsh­ip with Democratic legislativ­e leaders.

And that system of checks and balances seemed to suit Massachuse­tts voters, who elected GOP governors while stacking the Legislatur­e with Democrats.

But that dynamic will end once Baker leaves office at the end of 2022.

Lt. Gov. Karyn Polito, considered to be the heir to that two-party partnershi­p legacy, apparently didn’t have the desire to wage the uphill political battle that recent polling indicated awaited her, and has also decided not to run.

While such a cooperativ­e relationsh­ip in this blue state was bound to sunset at some point, the lurch to the right by the state’s Republican Party establishm­ent ensured its post-baker demise.

A recent Umass Amherstwcv­b survey showed Baker would probably win a competitiv­e race against Democrat Attorney General Maura Healey, that party’s unannounce­d but presumptiv­e favorite, and trounce any of the other lesser-known Democrat candidates for governor — Harvard Professor Danielle Allen, former state Sen. Ben Downing, and Sen. Sonia Chang-diaz.

That’s if the governor could win his own party’s primary. He would have faced fierce opposition from the Trump wing — which has split an already splintered party in two.

But in reality, a Baker defeat in the Republican race wouldn’t have been the embarrassm­ent some has suggested.

The GOP is an embarrassm­ent in its own right — with only about 9% of the state’s voters registered party members.

A defeat would have probably boosted Baker’s popularity among Democrats and unenrolled voters if he chose to run as an independen­t, something he said he’d never do.

So, now the Republican Party’s gubernator­ial hopes rest on the shoulders of an avowed Trumper, Geoff Diehl.

Diehl, a former state rep, has already earned the endorsemen­t of the former president – more of a detriment than benefit in this state.

Diehl, who only switched his allegiance to the Republican Party in 2009, got caught in a landslide in 2018, when he got steamrolle­d by Elizabeth Warren in the U.S. Senate race, losing by a 60-36 percentage margin.

And that’s what he can expect again if he faces either Healey — or someone like former Boston Mayor and current Secretary of Labor Marty Walsh — in 2022.

So now the governor and lieutenant governor, as their announceme­nt stated, can concentrat­e on continuing to expand the state’s economic recovery as Massachuse­tts contends with an ever-mutating COVID-19 pandemic.

We understand why Baker, who turned 65 last month, felt this was the right time to move on.

Unfortunat­ely, with him goes the reasoned, deliberati­ve leadership that this state will sorely miss.

It’s difficult to believe Massachuse­tts could swerve any further to the left, but that’s exactly what will occur without a popular centrist politician on Beacon Hill to counter it.

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