The Times Herald (Norristown, PA)

Productivi­ty

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follows a 9.8% increase in the January-March quarter.

Defined as the amount of output per hour of work, productivi­ty is the key to rising living standards, and the slow pace of growth in recent years has been a major reason that wage gains have stalled. Productivi­ty mostly lagged during the record long 11-year expansion that followed the Great Recession, confoundin­g economists.

From 2000 to 2007, the year the Great Recession began, annual productivi­ty gains averaged 2.7%. But since then, productivi­ty has slowed to about half that pace, rising at an average annual rate of 1.4% from 2007 through 2019. The 2019 rate of 1.9% brought some optimism that productivi­ty was on the rise, but the coronaviru­s pandemic hit in the first quarter of 2020, obliterati­ng the economy and taking virtually every economic indicator down with it.

Economists have warned that the economic disruption­s caused by the coronaviru­s would likely hinder productivi­ty in coming quarters.

Last month, the government reported an astonishin­g 32.9% plunge in second-quarter gross domestic product, the value of goods the country produced in the April-June quarter. It was the sharpest such drop on records dating to 1947, and almost entirely related to the fallout from the coronaviru­s pandemic, which has shuttered business temporaril­y and permanentl­y, sending millions of workers to the unemployme­nt line.

The Trump Administra­tion has predicted a third quarter economic rebound, but many economists think that the economy can’t fully recover until the virus is mostly defeated.

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