Times-Herald

Wall Street quiet ahead of U.S. consumer confidence survey

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Premarket trading is muted ahead of an inflation report and a survey of how American consumers are feeling about the economy.

Futures for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average were essentiall­y flat before the bell Tuesday.

The Conference Board will publish an update on consumer confidence, which has been in decline for three months. Economists expect the survey to show that Americans' confidence in the economy fell again in November, according to a poll by FactSet, potentiall­y bad news for businesses with the holiday shopping season in full swing.

On Thursday the government releases its October data on the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. Economists expect that measure to continue easing, as it has been since the middle of 2022.

Investors have grown cautiously optimistic that inflation has cooled enough for the Federal Reserve to put a definitive end to its aggressive interest rate hikes. Meanwhile, the broader economy has remained strong enough in the face of rising interest rates and inflation to avoid a recession.

What the Fed will do next will remain in focus for Wall Street through the end of the year.

The Fed has been holding its benchmark interest rate steady at a range of 5.25% to 5.50% since its last quarter-point hike at its July meeting. Investors increasing­ly expect the Fed to cut rates in mid-2024, easing it off its highest level in two decades. Its goal is to cool inflation without slowing economic growth to the point of causing a recession.

Signs the U.S. economy is slowing, and that conditions in China remain uncertain are weighing on sentiment, analysts say.

After U.S. new home sales slowed more than expected in October, "The Conference Board's consumer confidence survey could well show a deteriorat­ion in mood," Robert Carnell and Min Joo Kang of ING Economics said.

In Asian trading, Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index lost 0.1% to 33,408.39.

The Hang Seng in Hong Kong slipped 1% to 17,354.14. Chinese AI firm SenseTime's shares sank 4.9%, having fallen nearly 10% after Grizzly Research accused the artificial intelligen­ce software company of inflating its revenue figures. In a notice to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Sensetime said the allegation­s were "without merit" and showed a lack of understand­ing of the company's business and its financial reporting.

Grizzly also has taken aim at other Chinese tech companies, including online clothing retailer Temu.

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