USA TODAY International Edition

Love for stocks cooled as 10-month streak ends

3.9% monthly fall was worst since Jan. 2016

- Adam Shell

Stock investors’ hearts skipped a beat in February.

It wasn’t Cupid messing with their emotions, but a sudden and sizable dive in stock prices that caused the U.S. market to finish the month with a loss, snapping a streak of 10 straight monthly gains.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 index, a broad gauge of stocks, ended February down 3.9%, its first monthly loss since March 2017, which left it just shy of an 11-month streak set in 1958, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices. The fall also was its biggest monthly decline since January 2016, when investors stepped back from stocks because of concerns that China’s economy was in danger of a major contractio­n.

This February was a turbulent period, which saw the return of wild price swings for stocks after a long period of calm. The volatility — including two days in which the Dow Jones industrial average suffered record point drops of more than 1,000 points — was set in motion by fears that borrowing costs would spike more than expected this year, threatenin­g to slow growth for the economy and stocks.

The stock market decline at the start of the month was swift and startling, a 10.16% fall in the S&P 500 over a nine-session span ending Feb. 8, resulting in the first correction — a drop of 10% or more — in two years.

To be sure, the market has recouped a big chunk of its losses and has climbed back into positive territory for the year. A 401(k) investor that started the year with $100,000 invested in the S&P 500 would have seen his or her account balance swell to $107,453 by late January’s peak, only to sink to $96,536 at the low for the year. At the end of February, that initial investment was still showing a gain of about $1,500.

The shift in the market’s tone is viewed as a sign of change.

So what changed?

Overall, the stock market has been on a steady rise for more than a year with few hiccups along the way. Big market drops were absent, as was investor fear. But volatility came roaring back as rate-hike worries intensifie­d.

The S&P 500’s longest-ever period without a 3% drop, dating to November 2016, was snapped Feb. 3, according to Bespoke Investment Group. The large-company stock index also suffered its first 5% drop since late June 2016 when stocks tanked after the surprise vote by Britain to exit the European Union. The S&P 500’s first correction in two years followed Feb. 8.

Similarly, the VIX, a closely watched fear gauge, shot up more than 100% in a single day in February.

“We saw a tsunami of volatility,” said Paul Schatz, president of Heritage Capital, a Woodbridge, Conn., investment firm.

 ?? SPENCER PLATT/GETTY IMAGES ?? A trader works at the New York Stock Exchange on Monday.
SPENCER PLATT/GETTY IMAGES A trader works at the New York Stock Exchange on Monday.

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