USA TODAY International Edition

UAW members prepare to live on $ 250 a week

As contract negotiatio­ns heat up, who will go first among Detroit Three?

- Phoebe Wall Howard

As auto executives watch and wait, UAW leaders are working to strategica­lly decide which company to target for contract negotiatio­ns that will directly impact the lives of 148,661 hourly workers – and smart money at the moment is on Ford.

No decisions have been made yet. The announceme­nt is expected around Labor Day, less than two weeks before expiration of the UAW’s contracts with Ford, General Motors and Fiat Chrysler Automobile­s.

“Everybody wants to know who’s going first, everybody,” said a key player at one of the auto companies. “Going first means you control your destiny. But it also means you have a target on your back.”

Half a dozen interviews with industry and union sources close to negotiatio­ns suggest the union’s relationsh­ip with Ford is widely viewed as the most stable and least contentiou­s. Union negotiator­s consider Ford a good- faith partner in what is, at best, a brutal collective bargaining process that will include fights over steep health- care costs, hourly wage increases, the use of temporary workers, and shrinking an eight- year “grow- in” period required for full- time workers to reach top wages.

“We think Ford would be the best deal,” said one veteran UAW member. “The most anger is with GM, which is making a ton of money and still Mary Barra is trying to close plants. Our country bailed out GM during the bankruptcy. I mean, why can’t they build the Chevy Blazer in Poletown? Mexico didn’t bail out GM, we did.”

Sources close to the UAW say if labor leaders can find agreement with Ford and establish a baseline that can be

force- fed to other companies, known as “pattern” bargaining, then workers will assess whether a strike on one or all of the Detroit Three would be effective.

No UAW member wants to support a family on the strike wage of $ 250 a week, yet workers are telling local leaders they already are making advance payments on bills and budgeting for hardship in preparatio­n for the worst. Younger union members say they help companies make money and they’ve been disrespect­ed by GM as it continues to show strong profits. The union maintains GM violated the contract by closing or idling factories during the the life of the current contract.

High alert, disruption

It would be prudent for GM to be on high alert for disruption and punishment, said Harley Shaiken, a University of California- Berkeley professor who talks frequently with labor and industry leaders as a national analyst. “Of all the vehicles that Mexico exports to the U. S., GM builds the largest number, some of which are the most profitable – pickups and SUVs.”

A strike is possible but not inevitable, he said. “Ford has the advantage that its relationsh­ips are probably better. And, historical­ly, Ford has been open to new approaches.”

Securing key elements in talks with Ford would give union leaders the freedom to get tough with GM, sources said. Quite a few Fiat Chrysler workers who build the popular Jeep and Ram vehicles say they are unified when discussing strike options on the Detroit Three.

‘ If not now, when?’

“Ford knows it’s going into tough economic times with slower sales and global slowdowns. But the union is aware of how profitable Ford is now. So, if not now, when?” Shaiken said.

Ford builds more vehicles in the United States and employs more U. S. hourly employees than any other automaker. Also, more than 80% of the vehicles that Ford sells in the United States are built here.

At issue in this round of negotiatio­ns is that workers are angry, and they’re trying to figure out how to best channel that anger constructi­vely. Their view is that workers took cuts when the companies were in trouble a decade ago, and they still haven’t recovered financially. Yet executive pay packages have grown steadily by the millions, workers say.

Rich and fearful

“I mean, we were asked to sacrifice when things were bad and now we’re asked to sacrifice when the companies are making billions because things could go bad later,” said a frustrated UAW member involved in contract talks.

“Workers sacrifice again and again,” this worker said. “This is the first year that the companies are projecting problems so they get pity at the table. They have problems, they want help. Now, in this new world, you can be flush with cash but you think you might have a problem.”

In 2015, the UAW started with Fiat Chrysler and then went to General Motors and Ford. Since then, Fiat Chrysler negotiator­s have gone to prison as part of a massive bribery scheme that led to the conviction of former union leaders.

Both Fiat Chrysler and UAW officials maintain the scandal didn’t have an impact on negotiatio­ns. Workers say they aren’t so sure.

The way it works, labor contracts are automatica­lly extended while companies wait their turn. That’s another reason why going first can be uncomforta­ble. The battles play out in the spotlight while competitor­s sit back and watch.

The current four- year contract expires at midnight Sept. 14.

No question, every person interviewe­d said GM will be targeted for a strike. By closing its Lordstown, Ohio, assembly plant, along with transmissi­on plants in Warren and Baltimore, and setting Detroit- Hamtramck to idle, GM has left workers feeling that the company is unapprecia­tive and unwilling to treat workers fairly in good times. Closure may be a reality, but communicat­ion is essential, workers said.

Currently, Fiat Chrysler is valued at $ 25.67 billion, Ford is valued at $ 37 billion and GM is valued at $ 55.89 billion.

Eight- figure salaries

Labor organizers said no one is interested in bleeding the companies, because Detroit Three workers share in the profits, so everyone wins if the company does well. But slashing worker benefits while adding perks for executives who earn eight- figure salary packages gets UAW workers’ attention.

“Things are going really well now,” a UAW source said. “It’s time to share.”

For the automakers, health care costs are a huge issue. “You’ll find that autoworker­s pay about 3% of their cost of health care, while a typical employee is paying 29%. That cost difference puts the company in a difficult situation,” said Marick Masters, a business professor at Wayne State University with expertise in labor affairs.

Companies that don’t go first are essentiall­y negotiatin­g against themselves. They can tweak the pattern set but can’t create new language.

The UAW is officially called the United Automobile, Aerospace, and Agricultur­al Implement Workers of America. All member dues feed the strike fund. The UAW represents more than 400,000 active members in North America who work in everything from casino gaming to beer production to higher education.

Despite a diverse membership, the UAW is known for its autoworker­s.

“The union wants the company most amenable to accepting its core goals, and companies often prefer being the target because it allows them to craft a contract that more suits their own needs rather than those of its competitor­s,” Shaiken said. “Many senior workers feel they gave up much when the industry collapsed and want a fair share today when it is profitable. Many younger workers have never experience­d a set of negotiatio­ns or a strike.”

No hugs

Anxiety is very real this year, sources say.

No automaker is in the clear. The union workers may strike Ford or Fiat Chrysler for the overall package and then target GM over proposed plant closures, Shaiken said.

Meanwhile, optics matter. When executives and union leaders met to shake hands to launch the contract period, they all were kept in separate rooms. Last cycle, FCA CEO Sergio Marchionne hugged then- UAW president Dennis Williams. And members say they look back at that body language and wonder if they won a fair deal.

“Now you’ve got a moment where the industry is very profitable in the wake of a collapse of an industry, where two went bankrupt and one was teetering,” Shaiken said. “Today, there’s a pretty big divide, but it is bridgeable. The whole genius to pattern bargaining is the strike would only take place at one company.”

Political leaders will be watching closely to see how things unfold in the Motor City.

“The current president was elected by saying he and only he could deliver on jobs for autoworker­s. That is proving to be a hollow promise,” Shaiken said. “Despite the rhetoric of President Trump, no jobs have really come back.”

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