Jaguars (10-8) at Chiefs (14-3)

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET Saturday, NBC, Peacock, Universo Tipico Sportsbook line: Chiefs by 9

Chiefs’ passing attack vs. Jacksonville’s defense

Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes threw for 331 yards, four touchdowns and one interception when the Chiefs defeated Jacksonville 27-17 in Week 10. Mahomes led the NFL in passing (5,250) during the regular season. He was the only quarterback to eclipse 5,000 yards. The Chiefs had the No. 1 total offense (413 yards per game) and top passing attack (297 yards per game) in the league. The Jaguars defense ranked 28th against the pass, allowing 238 yards per game. Jacksonville has to be able to contain Kansas City’s versatile passing attack. Expect Jaguars defensive coordinator Mike Caldwell to scheme up zone defensive packages that protect against the pass. The Jaguars’ likely objective is to pressure Mahomes with their defensive linemen while also dropping back into zone coverage on the back end. Tight end Travis Kelce, wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster and running back Jerick McKinnon are the three best pass-catching threats on Kansas City’s offense.

Travis Etienne and Jaguars offense against Kansas City’s defense

Etienne rushed for 1,125 yards, averaging 5.1 yards per carry during the regular season. He produced 109 rushing yards and averaged 5.5 yards per carry in last week’s playoff win. It’s imperative for the Jaguars to get their rushing attack going against a Chiefs defense that allowed 107 rushing yards per game during the regular season. If Jacksonville establishes the run it will open up the play-action pass and also help the team control the clock. Etienne should get over 20 carries as the Jags aim to control the possession battle. The Jaguars running back had 11 carries for 45 yards in the team’s regular season loss to Kansas City. The Chiefs defense has given up at least 125 yards rushing in two of their three losses.

Trevor Lawrence and offense need to play turnover-free football

Lawrence tossed four interceptions and the Jags had five total first-half turnovers before a furious second-half rally versus the Chargers. The Jaguars can ill-afford to have five turnovers on the road in Kansas City. Mahomes and Co. will capitalize off mistakes. The Chiefs defense forced 20 takeaways during the regular season. Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo likes to play man-to-man defense and occasionally blitzes (24% per drop back in regular season). Can the Chiefs be disruptive and pressure Lawrence into some errant throws?