St. John’s resurgence revives its case for selection
Remember when Rick Pitino described his first season coaching at St. John’s “the most unenjoyable experience of my lifetime” and called his players “unathletic” after falling to Seton Hall, its third loss in a row?
Maybe it was the wake-up call the Johnnies needed.
Since the infamous tirade, the Red Storm men’s basketball team rattled off four wins – including an impressive victory against Creighton – to enter the NCAA Tournament picture, a 180-degree turn from where St. John’s was less than three weeks ago.
Going into the final week of the regular season, St. John’s is one of the first four teams out in the latest USA TODAY Sports bracketology prediction. While it’s not a solidified tournament spot, it surely is a much better place than it was in a few weeks ago, and with teams ahead of them tumbling, there’s a solid chance a late-season push could result in his squad getting a spot in the bracket and Pitino taking his sixth different school to the big dance.
St. John’s is one of five Big East teams still vying for a postseason spot, creating what should be an enticing beginning to the conference tournament next week. But teams can’t look too far ahead. Here is where teams on the bubble sit and what could result in them making – or missing – the tournament heading into the final weekend of the regular season.
American Athletic Florida Atlantic
Record: 23-7 (13-4). NET: 37. Quad 1 record: 1-3
With South Florida clinching the regularseason conference title, Florida Atlantic’s stock has dropped it to a doubledigit seed. The Owls close the regular season against Memphis on Saturday, and they need to avenge the loss to the Tigers to avoid being in the last four in territory. Projection: No. 10 seed.
ACC Virginia
Record: 21-9 (12-7). NET: 49. Quad 1 record: 2-6.
A poor showing against Duke shows the struggle Virginia has had with three losses in four games, each by double digits. Tony Bennett’s team could be a first four selection; it needs to at least beat Georgia Tech to avoid the play-in game. Projection: No. 10 seed.
Wake Forest
Record: 18-12 (10-9). NET: 41. Quad 1 record: 2-6.
Things need to change quickly in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, if Wake Forest wants to be in the tournament. The Demon Deacons have lost three in a row, including a bad Quad 3 home loss to Georgia Tech. As a result, Wake Forest plummeted in the NET rankings from 31 to 41. Not all hope is lost with another Quad 1 opportunity against Clemson to end the regular season, but it’s a mustwin. Projection: Next four out.
Pittsburgh
Record: 20-10 (11-8). NET: 44. Quad 1 record: 2-6.
Even with no impressive wins in the past week, Pittsburgh has been jumped by several teams that have boosted their tournament stock to put the Panthers in the next four out. But don’t count out the Panthers; if Pittsburgh is able to handle North Carolina State at home, it should keep momentum going into the ACC tournament. Projection: Next four out.
Big 12 TCU
Record: 20-10 (9-8). NET: 40. Quad 1 record: 2-10.
A string of defeats in the loaded Big 12 and a poor Quad 1 record have resulted in TCU dropping a few sports down the tournament field. The Horned Frogs don’t have any Quad 1 opportunities left to significantly move up, but a spot in the bracket will be ensured as long as they take care of business against UCF on Saturday. Projection: No. 9 seed.
Big East Villanova
Record: 17-13 (10-9). NET: 25. Quad 1 record: 4-8.
The big Quad 1 road win at Providence last weekend has propelled Villanova back into the projected bracket. However, the Wildcats weren’t able to keep the momentum with a road loss to Seton Hall. The regular-season finale Creighton is the game of the season that could be a big factor in Villanova’s fate before the Big East tournament. Projection: No. 11 seed (last four in).
Seton Hall
Record: 19-11 (12-7). NET: 67. Quad 1
record: 6-7.
It was a tall task to try to beat Creighton and Connecticut on the road in the same week, but it didn’t help getting blown out in both. Still, Seton Hall remains a tournament team, and the win over Villanova is another Quad 1 win that should give them more space than the Wildcats. Projection: No. 11 seed (last four in).
Providence
Record: 19-11 (10-9). NET: 62. Quad 1 record: 5-8.
Saturday’s loss to Villanova is the reason why Providence went from a projected tournament team to being one of the last four teams out. Now if they want to steal a last four in spot from another team, the Friars need to close with a win over UConn, something easier said than done. Projection: First four out.
St. John’s
Record: 18-12 (10-9). NET: 34. Quad 1 record: 5-9.
The newest team to join tournament consideration, St. John’s has quickly turned its season around with a fourgame winning streak that includes two Quad 1 wins in Creighton and Butler. With Georgetown to close out the regular season, don’t be surprised if the Johnnies are one of the last four teams in as the conference tournament begins. Projection: First four out.
Butler
Record: 18-13 (9-11). NET: 66. Quad 1 record: 4-11.
Butler is hanging on for dear life, snapping a five-game losing streak with a win against lowly DePaul and then beating Xavier on Wednesday. However there’s still lots of work to do if the Bulldogs want a tournament spot, so they’ll need to make some noise in New York City if it wants to catapult up the bubble. Projection: Next four out.
Big Ten Northwestern
Record: 20-10 (11-8). NET: 52. Quad 1 record: 5-6.
A loss to Iowa over the weekend hurt Northwestern’s chance of getting a top eight seed, and losing a big Quad 1 opportunity against fellow bubble team Michigan State moves the Wildcats into double-digit seed territory. But Northwestern doesn’t need to fully panic – yet. A win against Minnesota on Saturday should seal the deal. Projection: No. 10 seed.
Michigan State
Record: 18-12 (10-9). NET: 22. Quad 1 record: 4-8.
Another season of going from national title aspirations to fighting for a tournament spot. The Spartans entered the week on a three-game losing streak that resulted in them being a projected double-digit seed, but Wednesday’s defeat of Northwestern should give the Spartans a case to jump the Wildcats in the bubble. Projection: No. 9 seed.
Nebraska
Record: 21-9 (11-8). NET: 43. Quad 1 record: 3-7.
The Cornhuskers went 1-1 last week but they moved up in the projected field as a solidified No. 11 seed. It remains very likely at the moment Nebraska will return to the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2014. Projection: No. 11 seed.
Iowa
Record: 18-12 (10-9). NET: 57. Quad 1 record: 3-8.
An impressive victory at Northwestern and three Quad 1 wins in its last five games have propelled Iowa into consideration. There’s still a lot that needs to happen for the Hawkeyes, but they can make another big jump with another Quad 1 win against Illinois. Projection: Next four out.
Missouri Valley Drake
Record: 25-6 (16-4). NET: 48. Quad 1 record: 3-1.
The Missouri Valley Conference certainly has a case to send two teams to the tournament with Drake’s impressive resume. The biggest concern is the selection committee being tough on Drake’s schedule and two Quad 3 losses. The Bulldogs likely need to make the conference tournament title game and face Indiana State to be considered for an at-large bid should they not win it all. Projection: Next four out.
Mountain West Boise State
Record: 21-9 (12-5). NET: 27. Quad 1 record: 5-4.
Boise State saw its five-game winning streak end and a golden opportunity to grab first in the Mountain West go away with a loss to Nevada. The chance to head into Las Vegas with the No. 1 seed is still alive with a big Quad 1 game at San Diego State on Saturday. Projection: No. 9 seed.
Colorado State
Record: 21-9 (9-8). NET: 36. Quad 1
record: 4-6.
Colorado State was able to halt its free fall from the top of the Mountain West with a win over Wyoming last weekend. The Rams will face Quad 4 opponent Air Force to close out the season, which they will have to be a win to prevent from falling into last four in territory. Projection: No. 10 seed.
New Mexico
Record: 22-8 (10-7). NET: 29. Quad 1 record: 2-5.
Don’t let the high NET ranking fool you; New Mexico has the least amount of Quad 1 wins of any Mountain West contender, and it suffered a horrific loss to Air Force before losing to Boise State last week. The Lobos can get back into a solidified tournament spot by capping off the regular season with a Quad 1 win at Utah State. Projection: No. 11 seed (last four in).
Pac-12 Colorado
Record: 20-9 (11-7). NET: 31. Quad 1 record: 1-5.
The Buffaloes have handled their business in recent weeks with a four-game winning streak. Colorado can make a real case for securing a tournament bid by getting its second Quad 1 win of the season on Thursday against Oregon. Projection: No. 11 seed (last four in).
Utah
Record: 18-11 (9-9). NET: 46. Quad 1 record: 3-7.
Sweeping the Bay Area schools last week wasn’t enough to move Utah up anywhere in the first eight teams projected to miss the tournament. In order to move up, Utah will need to beat Oregon State and end the season with a Quad 1 win at Oregon. Projection: First four out.