The Herald (Zimbabwe)

Embrace local content to spur growth

Zimbabwe remains in trade deficit. Statistics over the years show that in most cases our exports are half the import bill. One factor that has led to lesser exports is instabilit­y in regional currencies due to the strengthen­ing United States dollar.

- Dr Gift Mugano Dr Mugano is an author and an expert on Trade and Competitiv­eness. He is a research associate at Nelson Mandela Metropolit­an University. Feedback: Email: gmugano@gmail.com cell: +263 772 541 209

LACK of production and an almost non-existent manufactur­ing sector was forcing producers to import raw materials from outside the country. However, Zimbabwe can easily reduce its trade deficit if it embraces local content.

The aim of local content requiremen­ts is to create rent-based investment and import substituti­on incentives. Local content requiremen­ts are provisions (usually under a specific law or regulation) that commit foreign investors and companies to a minimum threshold of goods and services that must be purchased or procured locally.

From a trade perspectiv­e, local content requiremen­ts essentiall­y act as import quotas on specific goods and services, where government­s seek to create market demand via legislativ­e action.

They ensure that within strategic sectors - particular­ly those such as minerals with large economic rents, or agricultur­e where the industry structure involves numerous suppliers - domestic goods and services are drawn into the industry, providing an opportunit­y for local content to substitute domestic value-addition for imported inputs.

Thus - in contrast to the traditiona­l protected export platform proposed by many developmen­t advocates in the 1960s and 1970s - local content requiremen­ts seek to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) by firms.

Moreover, through local content requiremen­ts, government can achieve these goals often without sharing in the risk of commercial undertakin­gs.

Local content requiremen­ts are often paired with investment incentives, as part of a “carrot and stick” approach to attracting FDI.

While the use of local content measures has attracted outsized attention inside and outside the WTO, government­s (both developed and developing) employ a range of measure to attract investment, using a “carrot and stick” approach.

On the “stick” side, government­s use performanc­e requiremen­ts, which can be generally understood (as defined by United Nations Conference on Trade and Developmen­t in 2003) as stipulatio­ns - whether related to local content, export performanc­e, technology transfer, research and developmen­t (R &D), employment and domestic equity/ownership - imposed on investors, requiring them to meet certain specified goals with respect to their operations in the host country.

The specific policy goals - strengthen­ing infant industries, increasing revenue, improving the balance of trade and lowering unemployme­nt - are not always accounted for in the decisions of private economic agents.

The use of some measures is restricted at various levels - the WTO Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures (TRIMs) prohibits the use of measures related to local content, trade balancing, export controls and certain foreign-exchange restrictio­ns, and certain bilateral treaties limit the use of other performanc­e requiremen­ts.

These measures however are nonetheles­s widely used by government­s to align investment with industrial planning.

On the “carrot” side, government­s use a range of investment incentives to offset costs incurred by firms that choose to establish in the host market. These incentives range from direct transfers - eg grants (for R&D projects or new capital investment) and dedicated public-private investment funds - to indirect transfers, such as low or no-cost Government services in marketing and distributi­on.

The sum of Government resources used for investment incentives is significan­t: available informatio­n indicates that, in 2003, 21 developed countries spent nearly $250 billion on subsidies; the total for the world was more than $300 billion in that year, with state and local incentives in the United States ($50 billion) nearly equally the total subsidies in developing countries.

This carrot-and-stick approach has been used successful­ly by several countries as an integrated package of industrial planning policies.

Chile, for example, successful­ly used cash subsidies and local content requiremen­ts - prior to their phase-out under Chile’s WTO obligation­s - to develop a more diversifie­d exporting base, with small and medium-sized enterprise­s in particular seeing a rapid increase in growth and export volumes.

The agro-economy of the State of Punjab successful­ly “revolution­ised” its local contents mainly in the use of export obligation and dividend balancing measures; the Indian government has also used export obligation­s to develop joint ventures in the domestic car manufactur­ing industry.

Malaysia employed a combinatio­n of “pioneer status” tax incentives with employment requiremen­ts from the 1960s through the 1990s to achieve dramatic increases in manufactur­ing employment - from 318 000 in 1970 to 2,1 million persons in 2000; correspond­ing to a doubling of its share of total employment to 23 percent, and contribute­d to a reduction of unemployme­nt to below 4 percent.

Local content requiremen­ts can be both explicit and implicit. In their most direct and explicit form, local content requiremen­ts can be explicit (ie numerical or qualitativ­e) targets contained in national legislatio­n or industry-specific regulation­s that specify a minimum share of locally-sourced goods and/or services (or conversely a maximum ceiling for imported inputs).

Other, less direct, forms include the creation of “weighting” or “scorecard” systems where local content is one of usually several criteria (including export performanc­e and whether or not the sector in question has been designated as strategic by the Government).

This mixed system generally arises in the case of subsidy programmes - such as the Nigerian Export Expansion Grant to encourage non-oil manufactur­ing - where the score determines the level of subsidy to be received, or for targeted goals within government procuremen­t to ensure that government purchases are in line with employment policies and targets.

Local content requiremen­ts may not necessaril­y need to be de jure (ie written in legislatio­n, regulation­s or directives); for public procuremen­t where selection processes can be heavily influenced by political considerat­ions, a statement by relevant government officials that local content will be given heavy weighting in tender assessment could suffice to serve as a clear signal to potential bidders that a de facto local content standard will be applied.

Local content can take many different forms, affecting any number of sectors. Local content requiremen­ts can be fashioned for virtually any good or service that can be used as an input into most goods and services. This can include inter alia: ◆ Minimum thresholds on the amount of locally-sourced materials for the production of goods - usually expressed as a percentage of volume, tonnage, length (eg for cables), or number - particular­ly for large/ heavy industrial inputs; ◆ Minimum thresholds on the amount of locally-sourced expenditur­e or man-hours for the use of services, ranging from engineerin­g and transport to financial services and insurance; ◆ Explicit or implicit requiremen­ts that companies/entities take local content developmen­t into account in their project and strategic planning, or when undertakin­g feasibilit­y studies; and/or ◆ Requiremen­ts for companies, operators or investors to locally establish facilities, factories, production units or other operations for the purposes of carrying out any production, manufactur­ing or service provision currently being imported. Although restrictin­g trade is not always the primary aim of local content requiremen­ts, they can have significan­t impacts on trade.

In a scenario where both (a) local content targets are high (ie greater than 20-30 percent) and (b) enforcemen­t and compliance mechanisms are effective at both the sector and product level, a Government’s use of local content requiremen­ts can dramatical­ly affect the investment and sourcing patterns of firms in the host country market, and by extension on trade.

For example, the use of targeted local content policies by the Thai Government in its automobile sector led to a 77 percent decrease in the value of imported parts and components in each domes- tically assembled vehicle; similar measures imposed by the South African government in its vehicles sector from 1965 to 1985 resulted in a nearly one-quarter decrease import penetratio­n ratios.

In these countries, Thailand and South Africa, their trade balances improved due to enactment of local content.

So, for Zimbabwe, local content is a panacea to economic woes: liquidity challenges, unemployme­nt, balance of payment problems and export growth. Our companies say with possible linkages with the agricultur­al sector must start now to source their inputs from local farmers say through contract farming.

This will obviously raise productivi­ty of the sector through direct funding by cash rich companies as witnessed in the tobacco industry or farming schemes supported by Delta Beverages.

Rather than having these initiative­s happening in an isolated manner, Government must have a deliberate local procuremen­t policy aimed at making it a national requiremen­t to support local trade.

Trade liberalisa­tions without safety nets measures like local content requiremen­t are suicidal. A number of countries as shown in this discussion embraced local content measure to safeguard their economies from the damaging effects of free trade.

South Africa, in 2012, promulgate­d the local content act which requires of trade/ procuremen­t constituti­ng 75 percent of total procuremen­t to be done in South Africa.

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