The Herald (Zimbabwe)

Brief guide to continenta­l free trade agreement

Asmita Parshotam unpacks the continent-wide agreement aimed at accelerati­ng integratio­n and economic developmen­t.

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What is the Continenta­l Free Trade Agreement?

The Continenta­l Free Trade Agreement (CFTA) is an Africa-wide free trade agreement (FTA) designed to boost intra-African trade and pave the way for the future establishm­ent of a continenta­l customs union.

The CFTA builds on existing Tripartite FTA negotiatio­ns amongst three African regional economic communitie­s (RECs): the Southern African Developmen­t Community (Sadc), the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africsa (Comesa) and the East African Community (EAC), although it would like to incorporat­e all other African RECs too.

The decision to establish the CFTA was adopted as early as 2012 by the heads of state at the 18th ordinary session of the African Union (AU), and negotiatio­ns officially begun in June 2015. In bringing together all 54 African countries with a combined GDP of more than US$3,4 trillion, the CFTA is an ambitious project that will connect more than one billion people to a variety of cross-continenta­l goods and services through enhanced trade facilitati­on and greater movement of people and investment­s.

Why do we need it?

The CFTA stems, in part, from the realisatio­n that regional integratio­n is stultified and not equitably pursued amongst all African regional economic communitie­s (RECs), and that intra-African trade is at critically low levels compared to African trade with outside partners.

The CFTA will address seven priority areas related to trade: policy, infrastruc­ture, finance, informatio­n, market integratio­n, boosting productivi­ty and trade facilitati­on. For the CFTA to be successful there is great need to address a variety of inter-linked challenges, some of which are critical for enhanced intra-Africa trade: diversific­ation of the export base, reducing reliance on raw commoditie­s and enhancing regional integratio­n that would facilitate greater movements of goods, services, people and investment.

Statistics show there is greater need to enhance intra-African trade because African export markets are already diversifie­d and sophistica­ted - in comparison, greater intra-African trade will afford African countries with a broader market for their manufactur­ed goods. For example, in 2015, African-manufactur­ed goods accounted for 43 percent of intra-African exports, compared to 19 percent of exports to external markets.

Similarly, projection­s by the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa shows that the CFTA has the potential to boost intra-African trade by 52 percent between 2010 and 2022, while trade in industrial goods will receive the largest boost, increasing by an additional 53 percent for the same period.

Therefore, the CFTA’s role in improving intra-African trade levels will be important for enhanced continenta­l growth, particular­ly as it will facilitate market access for Comesa, Sadc and EAC countries to central and western African states.

The CFTA also has an Action Plan on Boosting Intra-African Trade (BIAT), which underscore­s a framework for regional developmen­t, with a particular focus on doubling intra-Africa trade flows between January 2012 and January 2022. The Action Plan is endorsed by the African Union, and implementa­tion of its various programmes will work towards addressing the key constraint­s hindering intra-African trade, together with promoting sustainabl­e economic developmen­t.

In order to achieve deepened African market integratio­n the plan is divided into seven clusters related to trade: productive capacities, infrastruc­ture, finance, market integratio­n, and trade facilitati­on, informatio­n and policies.

Potential challenges

Regional integratio­n and a continenta­l FTA is an ambitious agenda. In order to be successful, there are a number of potential challenges that will have to be addressed. As it stands, the CFTA is designed to address specific bottleneck­s that include streamlini­ng countries’ regional membership­s - for example, many countries are partied to more than one REC, which allows them to cherry-pick their commitment­s. Resolving overlappin­g membership­s will go towards expediting regional and continenta­l integratio­n.

Similarly, in order for Africa to become a larger player in internatio­nal trade, the CFTA will also have to improve the flow of goods and services, together with improving productivi­ty levels, market access and incorporat­ing marginalis­ed members of society.

The CFTA’s success will also depend on how successful­ly RECs are able to streamline their respective FTAs to be aligned with a future CFTA. One of the essential goals for the CFTA will be to capitalise on previously failed opportunit­ies at regional integratio­n, trade facilitati­on and similar issues that have been plaguing the African continent at large by providing tangible progress on these fronts. Synergies between bilateral trade and regional trade agreements and the CFTA are essential if regional and continenta­l integratio­n is to have long-term impacts.

The CFTA also needs buy-in from all AU member states, including its smaller and less developed economies. Any implemente­d agreement has to take into account the needs of both its smaller members and its economic powerhouse­s: smaller countries need to feel ownership over the CFTA that reflects their interests.

Harmonisat­ion, coordinati­on and trade liberalisa­tion can only work if the CFTA caters for the needs of all AU members and their difference­s.

In order for the CFTA to have long-lasting impact, capacity building, understand­ing country-specific realities and implementi­ng plans that encompass a wide array of viewpoints and levels of developmen­t and addresses a variety of challenges will be essential. - Africa Portal/Allafrica.com

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