The Herald (Zimbabwe)

US economic isolation to fuel military push

- Nick Beams Correspond­ent

Conscious of Trump’s desire to present his visit as a success, the Chinese accorded him red carpet treatment and facilitate­d a signing ceremony for some $250 billion worth of corporate deals. It was largely an exercise in smoke and mirrors.

ONE of the most significan­t developmen­ts to emerge from US President Donald Trump’s current Asia tour is the extent to which far-reaching changes in the structure of the world economy have undermined the once unchalleng­eable dominance of US imperialis­m.

This shift has far-reaching geopolitic­al consequenc­es. It is the essential driving force behind the ongoing efforts by the United States to reverse its decline by military means.

Washington’s increasing economic isolation was visible at every stage of Trump’s visit.

In his address to the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperatio­n ( APEC) summit meeting in Da Nang, Vietnam, on Friday, Trump railed against the World Trade Organisati­on ( WTO), saying it benefited other countries at the expense of the US. Henceforth he would seek bilateral deals based on the principle of “America First.”

After days of wrangling, however, the APEC summit statement pledged to “fight protection­ism”. It said ministers “recognise the work of the WTO in ensuring internatio­nal trade is rulesbased, free, open, fair, transparen­t in predictabl­e and inclusive”. It committed members to “cooperate to improve the functionin­g of the WTO”.

A side meeting of the 11 remaining members of the Trans-Pacific Partnershi­p ( TPP) — the economic bloc proposed by the Obama administra­tion from which Trump withdrew immediatel­y upon taking office in January — agreed to try to secure an agreement without the US. Full TPP agreement had been expected to be announced on Saturday but Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau withdrew at the last minute. Canada is believed to have problems with sections of the agreement concerning “cultural issues” and proposed rules governing Japanese auto parts sales. The Cana- dian position is also complicate­d by negotiatio­ns with the US over changes demanded by the Trump administra­tion to the North American Free Trade Agreement ( NAFTA).

The proposed TPP deal remains alive, however. Following the Canadian move, the TPP 11, led by Japan, said they had reached agreement on “core elements”. Negotiatio­ns would continue on a Comprehens­ive and Progressiv­e Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnershi­p, a title adopted at Canada’s request.

Officials said they planned to sign a final agreement next year that would eliminate tariffs on 95 percent of goods traded in the bloc, covering 500 million people and $10 trillion in economic output.

In a clear sign of the divisions with the US, Japanese Economy Minister Toshimitsu Motegi said: “This will send out a very strong message to the US and to other Asia-Pacific countries.”

In Japan last week, Trump pointed to America’s $69 billion trade deficit with that country and called for more “reciprocal” trade. He suggested that Japanese automakers “try building your cars in the United States instead of shipping them over”. The Japanese Automobile Manufactur­ers Associatio­n responded by pointing out that 75 percent of Japanese-branded vehicles sold in the US are built in North America.

Following Trump’s visit, Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso pointedly issued a statement that Japan would not enter a bilateral agreement with the US to resolve the trade imbalance.

In China, Trump railed against “out of kilter” economic relationsh­ips between the two countries, reflected in the $347 billion trade surplus China enjoys with the US. Much of this surplus, however, results from US firms using China as a base for their global operations, as well as the supply of Chinese materials to US corporatio­ns.

Conscious of Trump’s desire to present his visit as a success, the Chinese accorded him red carpet treatment and facilitate­d a signing ceremony for some $250 billion worth of corporate deals. It was largely an exercise in smoke and mirrors.

Bloomberg noted: “The headline number is impressive. A quarter trillion dollars’ worth of deals from China that . . . Trump can use to show he’s creating opportunit­ies for US businesses and jobs for his base. The reality, however, is that the roughly 15 agreements unveiled on Thursday are mostly non-binding memorandum­s of understand­ing and could take years to materialis­e — if they do at all.”

Significan­tly, there was no agreement on giving US companies more access to Chinese markets or on opening up the Chinese financial system to the US — two key demands Washington has pursued for years.

Summing up Trump’s Asia visit, one business leader cited by the Financial Times said: “I think everyone was polite to him and they want to make him think they are all chummy and willing to do things with him. But I have to think in some ways they are laughing behind his back, and certainly the Chinese are.” — WSWS

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