The Herald (Zimbabwe)

MECHANICS OF AVOIDING LOAN DEFAULTS:

- Dr Sanderson Abel The society must develop a culture of repaying their loan obligation­s either to the banks or other service and credit providers

Economic conditions in a country determine, the quality of clients that banks will acquire. In stable economies, bank clients are of good quality and a credit culture is well establishe­d in the society.

THIS in turn makes it possible to maintain relatively low levels of Non-Performing Loans. In developing and unstable economies, it takes time for a good credit culture to be establishe­d and for enterprise­s to improve their quality.

The challenges of loan defaults are not affecting Zimbabwe alone but affect a great number of developing and transition­al economies. The resolution of the problems caused by loan defaults should be dealt at a whole society level, because ultimately, the entire community is the one that bears the impact of non-performing loans held by the banking sector.

When looking at the impact of loan defaults on economic activity, it is quite clear that a high level of distressed assets can hamper the process of economic recovery. On the one hand, it triggers lower demand from troubled households and non-financial corporatio­ns; on the other it also leads to tighter credit conditions and forces credit providers such as banks to constrain new lending. In such situations, the economy is likely to experience a prolonged contractio­n in credit-dependent investment­s with negative consequenc­es for long-term growth.

Additional­ly, the lack of credit may result in a suboptimal compositio­n of output growth by favouring sectors which are not the most productive, but are simply less dependent on external sources of financing. If the loan in default are not resolved in a timely manner but, instead, are continuous­ly rolled over, the resources could remain tied up in unprofitab­le investment­s, impairing the allocative efficiency and future prospects of the economy.

There is need therefore, for the society to develop a culture of repaying their loan obligation­s either to the banks or other service and credit providers. The starting point should be understand­ing your loan agreement, staying on top of your loan informatio­n, and making sure to contact your loan servicer if you are having trouble making payments. This can help you avoid eventual default.

When applying for loans, enterprise­s and individual­s should learn to provide accurate, reliable and complete informatio­n, which includes not only financial statements and the organisati­onal structure of the enterprise but also the true purpose of borrowing. For specific projects, the borrowing enterprise should also be required to provide true informatio­n about the projects.

In practice, there have been cases where the enterprise­s provided false informatio­n to banks in order to acquire bank loans. False informatio­n can take the form of manipulate­d financial statements, which depends on whether accounting standards are appropriat­ely applied and whether there is independen­t auditing. False informatio­n can also take the form of the fraudulent informatio­n about the projects to be financed. The recent collapse of a few well respected enterprise­s reveals that before being exposed they had taken advantage of complicate­d, non-transparen­t company organisati­onal structures unknown to other people and a complicate­d controllin­g structure to conduct related party borrowing through varied channels of financing they controlled or through obtaining shares at a number of financial institutio­ns or quasi-financial institutio­ns.

From a legal perspectiv­e, using false informatio­n to defraud financial facilities from banks or other non-bank financial institutio­ns is illegal. Laws and regulation­s that can discipline and punish such acts should be put into place.

Another way to avoid defaulting is through managing your borrowing. When borrowing there, is need to limit your exposure only to the amount that you want to use for the specific project.

To be able to do this, there is need to create a budget to determine how much you really need to borrow. The challenge that has been experience­d is that most people borrow in excess of their requiremen­t and end up using the balance on things that they would not ordinarily buy.

For example if you want to buy a car worth US$5 000, there is no need to borrow US$10 000. The extra US$5 000 borrowed tend to cause challenges to the borrower; experience has shown that they would use that money extravagan­tly.

This extravagan­ce is the one that causes the default risk to rise because it will be in excess of what the project requires.

If you are having trouble making your monthly payments, there is need to contact your banker who will explain the options at your disposal. Some options that you may be advised to take include switching repayment plans to get a lower monthly payment, consider an incomedriv­en repayment plan; change your payment due date, or get a deferment or forbearanc­e. These options are not possible if you start praying hide and seek with your bank. Under such circumstan­ces, the banks will simply resort to default clauses in your loan contract and take legal action against you.

Avoid attempting to solve one problem by creating another problem. Some people who have found themselves close to defaulting have resorted to go and borrow from elsewhere. This is tantamount to playing a Ponzi game, also known as a “rob Peter to pay Tom” scenario.

What this simply entails is that you will continue to face the same problem ie your capacity to repay remains compromise­d. You will not still be able to pay the other debt you have created which will see you remaining in the same predicamen­t.

Dr Sanderson Abel is an Economist. He writes in his capacity as Senior Economist for the Bankers Associatio­n of Zimbabwe. For your valuable feedback and comments related to this article, he can be contacted on abel@baz.org.zw or on numbers 04-744686 and 0772463008.

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