The Sunday Mail (Zimbabwe)

. . . listed firms fret

- Enacy Mapakame

THE lifting of restrictio­ns on imports will ease shortages of key foodstuffs and other commoditie­s, but some local manufactur­ers might take a hit.

Publicly traded makers of consumer goods such as National Foods, Hippo Valley, Star Africa, Lafarge and Dairibord are forecast to see a drop in sales volumes and earnings.

Indication­s on the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE) are also suggesting that retail stocks like OK Zimbabwe might be negatively affected.

Imported items such as cooking oil and flour often retail cheaper compared to locally manufactur­ed goods.

Products that can now be imported include cement, bottled water, packaging material, pizza base, animal fat, cooking oil, agro chemicals, stockfeed, cereals, fertiliser­s, wheat flour and ice cream after the suspension of Statutory Instrument 122 of 2017.

This move allows those with offshore and free funds to import basic commoditie­s that have been in short supply.

Now, local industry will have to adjust to the competitio­n from imports, usually priced cheaper than locally produced goods.

Analysts say the move, although welcome to avert shortages on the market, will have far reaching consequenc­es to local industry, which was beginning to recover from years of battling low competitiv­eness, depressed demand and low capacity utilisatio­n.

On the ZSE, shares largely remained depressed as all market indicators closed the week pointing southwards.

Total market capitalisa­tion let go of 3,9 percent to close the week pegged at US$19,028 billion from prior week’s US$19,779 billion.

The primary indicator, the ZSE All Share Index, lost 2,5 percent to 174,07 points on waning demand.

At 584,72 points, the Industrial­s Index retreated 2,4 percent to settle at 584,72 points while the Mining Index fell the heaviest with a 5 percent decline to 216,96 points.

The market’s elite club, the ZSE Top 10 Index, let go of 4 percent to 181,29 points on bartering of top cap counters.

Consumer stocks traded mixed in the week with gains recorded in sugar processor, Hippo, that put on a hefty 16 percent to close at US$2,80.

The sugar making company has earlier indicated it benefitted immensely from the import restrictio­ns, which resulted in increased volumes on the back of rising local demand.

Dairibord added 1,1 percent to 21,22 cents while largest retail group, OK Zimbabwe, put on a marginal 0,9 percent to 33,55 cents.

Cement producer, Lafarge, remained flat at US$1,53 cents.

Agro-processing group, National Foods, lost 1,5 percent to US$640 from the previous week’s US$6,50.

The manufactur­ing giant is expected to feel the pinch from the suspension of the import ban which will expose it to more competitio­n to its flour and cooking oil market where the company has a significan­t share.

During the week, the market’s biggest company by market capitalisa­tion, Econet, suffered a 12,8 percent decline to US$2,18 while beverages giant, Delta, retreated 2,2 percent to US$3,38.

The restrictiv­e policy measures were introduced in 2016, then (SI 64 of 2016), to protect local industry from unfair competitio­n from imports. This was also meant to boost consumptio­n of local products and enhance job creation across value chains.

Local companies have been gaining traction with improvemen­ts in production and capacity utilizatio­n recorded during the period the statutory instrument was in place.

However, for the past couple of weeks, there has been significan­t shortages of basic commoditie­s triggered by panic buying and speculativ­e behaviour.

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