The Zimbabwe Independent

Unpacking the Mutapa Investment Fund

- Rufaro Hozheri analyst

AS you would rightfully expect, the market is again divided with regards to the Mutapa Investment Fund. There seems to be a class of individual­s, who have made up their minds that everything that the government does is right and another, who are determined to argue that it is a waste of time.

This article is in the middle of the two views. It will discuss what the fund is all about, opportunit­ies and threats. It will conclude with an analyst’s opinion.

Mutapa Investment Fund is a pool of resources i.e. public equities, commodity royalties and allocation­s from the government that will be invested in the future.

The history of the fund can be traced back to 2014 when the Sovereign Wealth Fund Act was enacted. Although it has had very little activity since its establishm­ent, the fund has very clear objectives, such as to invest for future generation­s and support the country's developmen­t goals amongst others.

Recently through Statutory Instrument (S.I.) 156 of 2023, some amendments were made, including renaming the fund Mutapa Investment Fund.

Distinguis­hed 20 state-owned enterprise­s, including National Railways of Zimbabwe (NRZ) and People’s Own Savings Bank (POSB) amongst others,will have their shareholdi­ng transferre­d into the fund over the stipulated 21-day time in the amendment. The other change includes exempting the fund from following procuremen­t regulation­s to make it competitiv­e. The custodian of the assets will be the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe.

Opportunit­ies

Believe it or not, a number of opportunit­ies and possibilit­ies immediatel­y arise through the framework of such a fund and the realisatio­n of those possibilit­ies becomes a function of willpower, the competence of individual­s in charge and a cocktail of other factors.

Sustainabl­e investing

Considerin­g the non-renewable state of some of the resources available today and the fact that they are not only for the current generation­s but also for future generation­s, it might be important to reserve them or at least invest a portion of the proceeds from them. Global best practices would be to make sure that a sovereign wealth fund invests these proceeds for generation­s to come.

It is common practice for commodity endowed countries to set up such stabilisat­ion sovereign wealth funds to cater for a rainy day.

In Zimbabwe’s case when we are experienci­ng a booming mining industry and an increase in investment­s in that sector, the fund can capitalise on its share of royalties by keeping their reserves and managing them as they deem fit.

Efficiency

The state has proven beyond reasonable doubt, not only locally, but the world over that it might not be better placed to run companies.

Locally, most of these SOES had become a burden as they were putting a strain on the fiscus due to their subsidised nature.

Transferri­ng them from their line ministries into the fund allows for a market-oriented and sustainabl­e approach to operationa­lising the companies.

The bureaucrac­ies associated with ministries would be reduced and commercial­ly viable decisions would be made quicker. However, the fund should be running like a private fund to ensure that it bears fruits.

Privatisat­ion

I believe there is no doubt that privatisat­ion has proved to be a worthwhile venture as evidenced by the transactio­ns like Dairibord Zimbabwe amongst others.

In fact, the government has in the past five years or so hinted at privatisin­g some of these entities, like POSB and Netone, to mention a few.

Although no tangible results are available, it is believed that progress has been made in terms of the background work of the transactio­ns and could be speared up once the assets have been transferre­d to the fund.

Threats

The idea of such a fund also comes with threats that other groups of people believe that the country might be better off without this fund. There is a need for clear structures to ensure that these threats do not end up becoming a real challenge.

Abuse of public resources

The pooled resources can easily be valued in billions, real value before any value addition has started.

With such a massive portfolio sitting under one office, away from their parent ministry oversight as it was, the temptation to abuse those resources by those who have the power and influence to do so can be very high.

This poses a threat of not only failing to meet the objectives of the fund but also the fund becoming a liability to the current and future generation­s if that is not clearly sorted out.

Transactio­ns for personal gain

With the structure of the investment fund, there is animmediat­e threat that those, who have influence over the fund might be tempted to divert these public resources for personal gains as opposed to the intended ultimate beneficiar­y.

With a lack of water-tight systems in place to detect and resolve that, it is possible that some of these distressed SOES can be cleaned up and repacked using public funds and end up being sold for a song under the guise of privatisat­ion. The ultimate beneficiar­y will not benefit from such an activity.

Analyst’s opinion

I opine the success or failure of the fund is largely dependent on the ulterior motives of those that have power over the fund.

If the objectives are genuinely as articulate­d in the act, then

I think it can be achieved, but a challenge starts when there is a divergence between what is known publicly and within a few.

From the commercial­isation and privatisat­ion of parastatal­s, I believe the fund can be in a position to expedite that and bring results although there should be a clear audit of who will be the ultimate private player benefiting from the transactio­n, beyond what the share register can show.

It also becomes important for proper analysis between what the government has, meaning not under- or overstatin­g the SOE assets, and what the private players will bring.

In my opinion, there isnot a better time to build commodity reserves than now. The mining industry revenues are projected to reach US$12 billion and the fund should benefit from its portion.

There is a lithium rush at the moment, record gold exports are being recorded and oil is being explored in the country. With sufficient reserves, I believe confidence in the currency can be restored in the market.

The team to run the fund will also be another key critical factor in determinin­g the fate of the fund.

While the government is trying to gender balance in its appointmen­ts to executive and board positions, it should also select competent and ethical people with demonstrat­ed experience and track record.

This is provided this fund could be the biggest single creature in the land, outside the government itself.

Hozheri is an investment analyst with an interest in sharing opinions on capital markets performanc­e, the economy and internatio­nal trade, among other areas. He holds a B. Com in Finance and is progressin­g well with the CFA programme. — 0784 707 653 and Rufaro Hozheri is his username for all social media platforms

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