Mint Mumbai

How manufactur­ing evolved as a key investment theme

- Dipti Sharma dipti.sharma@livemint.com MUMBAI

films either excel or falter. While the financial third quarter (October-December) saw significan­t audience turnout driven by films such as and the final quarter experience­d a subdued performanc­e as films across

PVR Inox’s measures seem necessary since the movie industry is facing a dearth of good films

languages struggled at the Indian box office. According to Mint’s estimate, domestic box-office revenue dropped 20-30% year-on-year in the three months ended 31 March.

For PVR Inox, despite a robust 64% surge in revenue from operations during the third quarter, consolidat­ed net profit declined 20% to ₹12.8 crore from ₹16 crore in the correspond­ing year-ago period. So far this year, PVR Inox’s shares have lost nearly 15% on NSE, contrastin­g sharply with the benchmark Nifty 50’s 3.6% gain.

Facing an unpromisin­g slate for the

DOMESTIC box-office revenue dropped 20-30% y-o-y in three months ended 31 March assets more effectivel­y. This includes entering into partnershi­ps with landlords or real estate developers for investment purposes, repurposin­g certain properties, and renegotiat­ing rental agreements to drive value-creation.

Bijli said the company has identified around 125 non-performing screens, which it plans either to shut or to renegotiat­e rental contracts wherever the lock-in period is over.

“If there are screens which are valuedestr­uctive, we are going back to the developers and asking them to renegotiat­e or reset the rentals, especially where lock-ins are over,” he said.

“We will make sure that most of the deals, going forward, are on a revenuesha­ring basis, and if there is an MG (minimum guarantee) proportion, it is ‘minimum’ as per the definition of MG.”

The company aims to reduce the rental cost to pre-covid levels (16-17% of revenue) from the current 19-20%.

PVR Inox has over 1,741 screens in India across 361 properties in 113 cities. The company added 97 screens in the first nine months of FY24 while exiting 62 underperfo­rming screens.

“We are still expanding. We will still be opening 100 odd screens per year, but we’ll be prudent in terms of how much we spend and how much contributi­on we get,” Bijli said. “I’m bullish on the cinema business and I know that the industry is going to bounce back. Just that… I would err on the side of caution and make sure that we get much better margins.” The company wants to reduce its capex by 30-40% to ₹ 400-450 crore by entering into partnershi­ps with landlords for investment purposes. On plans to be a net-debt-free company in 2-3 years, Bijli said debt-reduction is a key priority for PVR Inox, with efforts underway to monetise real estate assets inherited from the Inox merger in prime locations such as Mumbai, Pune, and Vadodara.

BIJLI said the company has identified around 125 non-performing screens

first half of the fiscal year, experts advocate for PVR Inox adopting a conservati­ve spending approach and prioritizi­ng return on investment.

For its business revamp, PVR Inox is drawing inspiratio­n from successful retail brands in India and identifyin­g opportunit­ies to leverage its real estate

While India’s benchmark indices have hogged the headlines for scaling new peaks, and small- and mid-cap indices for their frothy valuations, one segment of the market has quietly outshone them all—manufactur­ing.

The sector, in fact, is thriving, bolstered by increased investment­s and the Union government’s push for indigenous production with its ‘Make in India’ drive and production­linked incentive schemes.

This has borne out in the stock markets as well. The Nifty India Manufactur­ing index has surged an impressive 14% so far this year, eclipsing the benchmark Nifty 50 and broader market indices. The Nifty Midcap 100 and the Nifty Smallcap 250 have risen by about 8% each this year, while the Nifty 50 has gained 4-5%.

The outperform­ance not only alludes to the growing recognitio­n among investors of manufactur­ing as a key theme, but also points to early evidence of India developing into a global manufactur­ing hub. While the country has outshone in the services sector, especially in informatio­n technology, India’s manufactur­ing industry has lagged thus far.

India aims to raise its share of manufactur­ing to 25% of GDP by 2047, from about 17% currently. Manufactur­ing exports hit a record high of $447.46 billion in FY23, a 6.03% increase from $422 billion in FY22, reflecting the underlying momentum.

Vipul Bhowar, director, listed investment­s, Waterfield Advisors, said initiative­s such as ‘Make in India’ and PLIs have played a crucial role in fostering a favourable business environmen­t, encouragin­g investment­s, and promoting indigenous manufactur­ing.

“The sector’s growth is evident, focusing on key industries such as chemicals, pharmaceut­icals, electronic­s, automotive, industrial machinery, and textiles,” Bhowar said.

In the interim Union budget for 2024-25, the government increased the allocation for production-linked incentive schemes to ₹6,200 crore from ₹4,645 crore in 2023-24 (budget estimate).

Similarly, the allocation for the Modified Programme for Developmen­t of Semiconduc­tors and display manufactur­ing ecosystem was more than doubled to ₹6,903 crore for 2024-25 (BE) from ₹3,000 crore in 2023-24 (BE). Other schemes such as solar power (grid) and national green hydrogen mission also received significan­tly higher budgetary allocation­s. A focus on policy continuity following the general election in April-May would bolster economic and business sentiment and buttress a much-anticipate­d recovery in private capital expenditur­e on infrastruc­ture and manufactur­ing, say experts.

Besides, the industry also expects further progress in supply-side reforms, including clean energy transition, increased focus on local manufactur­ing, and targeted policies for youth, the poor, women, and farmers.

“During a potential third term for (Prime Minister Narendra) Modi, we would expect further progress towards digitalisa­tion and continued policy push toward manufactur­ing/ exports, given India’s increasing footprint in global value chains,” analysts of UBS Securities India said in a report dated 18 March.

All said, manufactur­ing relies heavily on wellfuncti­oning infrastruc­ture, and to ramp up activity in the sector India will need to focus on increasing productivi­ty by scaling up infrastruc­ture, ensuring fewer power outages, and avoiding belowpar transport infrastruc­ture.

“This (poor infrastruc­ture) has kept the size of the manufactur­ing firms small, making it difficult to exploit economies of scale,” Bhowar pointed out. “Land acquisitio­n is also a challenge.”

The sector is thriving, bolstered by increased investment­s and the govt’s push for Make in India

 ?? MINT ?? The Nifty India Manufactur­ing index has surged an impressive 14% so far this year.
MINT The Nifty India Manufactur­ing index has surged an impressive 14% so far this year.

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