Daily Mail

AN EPIDEMIC OF MADNESS

■ Half of England now hit by rules — even where cases are low ■ Confusion and fury over lockdowns set to ruin businesses ■ Health crisis looming over 27m fewer GP appointmen­ts ■ ...and all on the day infections went DOWN

- By Jason Groves and Ben Spencer

MILLIONS more Britons were put into lockdown yesterday, sparking a fresh crisis for struggling businesses.

Half the population of England – nearly 30million people – will be under stricter rules from midnight.

They are being banned from socialisin­g indoors with anyone from another household, whether at home or in bars, restaurant­s and cafes.

The draconian measures came as figures showed GPs carried out 26.7million fewer appointmen­ts from March to August than over the same period in 2019. The huge decline raised fears that lives are being put at risk.

London, Essex, York and parts of Surrey, Cumbria and Derbyshire are being moved into the ‘high risk’ Tier Two of Covid-19 curbs at midnight.

Furious hospitalit­y chiefs warned Matt Hancock’s decision would decimate pubs and MPs said it was ‘neither targeted nor proportion­ate’.

As daily lab-confirmed cases fell 744 to 18,980 and another 138 Covid-19 deaths were reported: n Boris Johnson’s tiered ‘traffic light’

scheme was in crisis after northern Tories joined forces with Labour mayors to reject plans to put much of the region under the most stringent lockdown;

■ A senior official said Britain should have a series of ‘circuit breaker’ lockdowns during school holidays;

■ Italy was added to the list of countries subject to 14-day quarantine for travellers arriving in Britain;

■ At least a third of care home residents in England have not been given a coronaviru­s test over the past month;

■ A US study suggested only one in 2,000 under-70s who contract Covid are killed by the disease;

■ Experts criticised plans for students to self-isolate for 14 days before Christmas;

■ Scotland Yard said the MP who travelled long-distance by train after testing positive will face no further action.

Health Secretary Mr Hancock was last night accused of subjecting the capital to new lockdown measures to defuse claims that only the North was being targeted.

London MPs said the clampdown was not justified by the case rate in the city. Former Tory minister Sir Bob Neill, whose Bromley and Chislehurs­t seat in south London has one of the lowest coronaviru­s rates in the capital, branded Mr Hancock’s decision ‘a mistake’.

He said it was ‘neither targeted, nor proportion­ate, nor appropriat­e to use a London-wide average in so large a metropolit­an area where so little commuting is now taking place’.

Tory MP Nickie Aiken, who represents the Cities of London and Westminste­r, said businesses in the West End were ‘already on their knees’ and could ‘disappear for good’.

Emma McClarkin of the British Beer and Pub Associatio­n said: ‘All pubs are already particular­ly struggling due to the current restrictio­ns of the 10pm curfew, rule of six and low consumer confidence exacerbate­d by low footfall caused by a lack of tourists and commuters. These further restrictio­ns will leave most pubs fighting for their very survival.’

Mr Hancock insisted London was ‘absolutely not’ being hammered deliberate­ly, saying infection rates were on a ‘ steep upward path’ across the capital and it was not practical to place restrictio­ns only on the worst-hit boroughs.

In a gloomy prognosis, he also warned MPs: ‘Things will get worse before they get better, but I know there are calmer seas and brighter skies ahead.’

He said the Government had taken a ‘firm and balanced’ approach that was ‘the only way to protect lives and livelihood­s’.

But Harrow East Tory MP Bob Blackman demanded an exit strategy for areas in lockdown.

Labour frontbench­er Wes Streeting said: ‘There are lots of restaurant­s, pubs, bars and other venues whose doors will be open but customers will just not be walking through the door.’

Kate Nicholls, chief executive of UK Hospitalit­y, said: ‘Being moved into Tier Two is a curse for businesses.

‘They will be trapped in a no man’s land of being open, but with severe restrictio­ns that will significan­tly hit custom, all while unable to access the job support available in Tier Three.’

The restrictio­ns were welcomed by London’s Labour mayor Sadiq Khan, who said they were based on ‘ expert public health and scientific advice about what is necessary to save lives in the capital’.

Liverpool city region, comprising 1.6 million residents, remains the only area currently in Tier Three, which has the highest level of restrictio­ns.

A major report by the Care Quality Commission today warns of a ‘huge pentup demand for care’ since the March lockdown. Inspectors fear that ‘ lost’ appointmen­ts with doctors have led to a significan­t deteriorat­ion in patients’ health, the missed diagnoses of cancers and the worsening of conditions such as asthma and diabetes.

Preliminar­y statistics produced by NHS Digital estimate there were 26.7million fewer GP appointmen­ts in England between March and August this year than in the same period in 2019 – down from 146.2million to 119.5million.

CQC chief executive Ian Trenholm said: ‘If looked at across the whole of the year, the number of lost GP appointmen­ts translates into millions of people potentiall­y not seeing their GP, not getting conditions diagnosed early enough, not getting those referrals on for diagnoses like cancer, and other conditions.’

The CQC praised the way GPs adopted innovation and technology but warned that such approaches were inappropri­ate for many patients.

Dr Jennifer Dixon, chief executive of the Health Foundation, said: ‘There is now a huge and growing backlog of people who need NHS care, which has built up because of the pandemic.’

But Martin Marshall, chairman of the Royal College of GPs, stressed that 400,000 patients were being seen face to face every day. The professor added: ‘GPs and their teams worked incredibly hard from the start of the pandemic, changing the way they deliver services in order to keep patients as safe as possible, stop the spread of the virus, and allow staff to continue working, delivering patient care.’

IN AN INSPIRING speech in July, Boris Johnson marked out a bold road map for Britain’s return to normality. The war against Covid would be over by Christmas. after the privations endured during lockdown — curbs on travel, work, socialisin­g and even family gatherings — his words lifted the nation’s spirits.

Freed from draconian restrictio­ns, there would be turkey around the table with loved ones, carol singing with neighbours at the village church and festive parties with friends and family.

Today, we ask: Which Christmas, prime Minister? For as we edge into autumn, the optimism of that summer’s day has vanished. Ministers have all but surrendere­d to coronaviru­s.

great swathes of the country have once again been shunted into the stultifyin­g misery of new clampdowns on our cherished freedoms in an attempt to halt the disease’s relentless march.

indeed, the blanket of gruelling curtailmen­ts now covers almost half the population — 28 million people.

Matt Hancock, who seems to have warmed to administer­ing the handcuffs a touch too eagerly, broke the dispiritin­g news to the Commons.

in funereal tones, the Health secretary said he ‘hated the fact’ the government was bringing in such severe measures. Then seconds later, he imposed fresh sanctions on an array of towns and cities, including London — the engine room of the economy.

But what exactly do they mean for the man (and woman) in the street?

Under the authoritar­ian crackdown, it will be illegal in high-risk areas, from tomorrow, for people to socialise in their own homes or visit pubs and restaurant­s with friends — on pain of huge fines.

Office workers will be urged to stay at home and, if possible, public transport must be studiously avoided.

in the worst Covid hotspots — such as Merseyside — hospitalit­y and leisure businesses, just dusting themselves down after being battered by lockdown, will again be forced to shut. The local economies will be eviscerate­d.

Even during World War ii, as the Luftwaffe bombed our cities, citizens had greater freedom to live their lives.

To be generous, Boris Johnson’s threetier system does avoid a ‘circuit breaker’ (a euphemism for a crippling and probably interminab­le national lockdown). For now at least. The prime Minister, thank goodness, has kept open schools, universiti­es and shops. and people can still attend weddings and funerals (albeit with a small guest list).

No10 insists the rules are simpler. To most people, however, they are a mishmash of oppressive diktats: Complicate­d, bewilderin­g, illogical and unfair.

For instance, you’re forbidden from meeting your brother or daughter for a drink in a pub (assuming you live in different households), but you can go to the office with scores of strangers. Equally, you can work all day sitting next to someone but can’t meet them in a bar afterwards. The incoherenc­e verges on breath-taking.

Yet, even as Mr Johnson seeks to steer us away from the abyss, it appears Mr Hancock, egged on by the government’s one- eyed scientific advisers and zero-infection devotees, is trying to impose a countrywid­e lockdown by stealth.

With every turn of the Covid screw the country descends further into insanity.

and for what? Yes, there are apocalypti­c (and highly dubious) charts and graphs wheeled out by professor Chris Whitty, the chief medical officer, and sir patrick Vallance, the chief scientific adviser, to silence sceptics and frighten the public into compliance.

But where is the conclusive evidence these stringent crackdowns actually work? answer: There isn’t any. rather, there is growing evidence to the contrary.

Before sir Keir starmer’s opportunis­tic Damascene conversion to the benefits of placing the entire population under house arrest, he had gleefully pointed out that 19 of 20 northern towns subjected to local restrictio­ns had seen infections soar.

Little wonder, then, that northern mayors are in open rebellion at the threat of a mini-lockdown. Clearly, the more belligeren­t among them are playing political games to squeeze more cash from the Treasury. Yet they offer little by way of an alternativ­e strategy.

and by suggesting government measures are unfair, they are encouragin­g their people to flout all Covid rules. But they do have a point. Even the full lockdown couldn’t eradicate coronaviru­s. Why should a partial one be any more effective?

indeed, a damning study by eminent academics — commission­ed by the government, no less — has found that they simply don’t work. severe restrictio­ns may actually increase the death toll by prolonging the pandemic.

Listen, too, to Dr David Nabarro, of the World Health Organisati­on. ‘Lockdowns,’ he says, ‘just have one consequenc­e that you must never ever belittle, and that is making poor people an awful lot poorer.’

True, there has been an increase in new Covid infections, although nowhere near the 50,000 a day predicted by doom-monger-in- chief sir patrick. in reality, the figure is only around a third of that wild guess.

Hospitalis­ations have climbed — yet in London, a city of 9.3 million people, they are averaging 40 admissions a day.

Meanwhile, while deaths from the disease have also risen, they are still onetenth the number of people who succumbed at the peak of the pandemic.

Of course, only an irresponsi­ble government would ignore health data and wilfully jeopardise its citizens’ safety.

But through fear and dogma, ministers risk sacrificin­g the well-being of the nation on the altar of the battle against the pandemic. By using lockdowns, curfews and restrictio­ns, the government is strangling our economy and throwing society into turmoil.

Clamping down on millions who will simply shrug off the illness is killing off the embryonic recovery — just as Britain buckles under horrific debt our greatgrand­children will still be repaying.

Businesses are locking their doors for the final time. Countless pubs and restaurant­s will never take another order. Entire sectors of commercial life, from leisure to the aviation industry, are being wiped out.

With furlough ending this month, a jobs bloodbath looms. By spring, unemployme­nt could top four million — worse than in the 1980s. and that will unleash a tsunami of poverty, homelessne­ss, family breakdown, mental illness — each killing as surely as Covid.

Moreover, the economy is not some abstract concept involving men in bowler hats. Without it, society unravels.

prosperity ensures roads are repaired, the NHs is there for the sick, the elderly are cared for and that the police can fight crime.

Meanwhile, the monomaniac­al focus on the contagion has distorted health priorities, meaning other patients have been discarded.

incredibly, there were 26 million fewer gp appointmen­ts during lockdown. Many stayed away from their doctors for fear of catching coronaviru­s or burdening the NHs. Others were uncomforta­ble with telephone- or skype-only consultati­ons.

it meant those finding abnormal lumps or experienci­ng chest pains suffered in silence. The grim ledger of death also included countless patients who were lost to cancer, heart disease and other illnesses because of treatment delays or cancelled operations.

and then there are the painful social costs. We now live in a land where grandparen­ts are banned from hugging their grandchild­ren, civil liberties have been torched and neighbours are encouraged to snitch on each other.

all this damage and for what? Despite the hysteria, the danger from Covid is strictly limited. While every life is precious, the microbe targets the old or those already compromise­d by ill-health.

The average age of patients who die with the disease is 82 — a year longer than average life expectancy.

For the vast majority, the risks of becoming seriously ill, let alone dying, are small to infinitesi­mal.

No one seeks to diminish what are individual tragedies. But neither does anyone clamour to bring the country to a grinding halt for flu and pneumonia outbreaks, which kill more during the winter.

For these reasons, Mr Johnson should concentrat­e on making his three-tier system work.

But the Mail implores the PM: Not a step further! Not only would a full lockdown be ruinous, it would be unfair on areas with low infection rates.

and those Britons living in places enduring tougher restrictio­ns should be told how they can escape the nightmare.

To what level must infections drop? What lowering of hospital admissions or deaths will allow curbs to be eased?

They have not been offered a glimpse of the sunlit uplands.

The PM must also stop clutching at straws: a vaccine, which has not been invented, and mass testing, which thanks to ministeria­l incompeten­ce has been botched.

We may have to accept the contagion in our midst, like humans have had to do with almost all other infections down the millennia, shield the vulnerable and get on with the business of living.

Oscillatin­g in and out of lockdown, in a grim wave of desperatio­n, deprivatio­n and even more death, would break the country.

in an interventi­on yesterday, former Whitehall homelessne­ss tsar Dame Louise Casey warned that, post-lockdown, many women would resort to prostituti­on to buy food for the table and shoes for their children.

Yes, this might be a gross overreacti­on. But she makes a sound underlying point — and one that ministers would do well to grasp.

When Mr Hancock says piously that imposing economy-destroying restrictio­ns is for our own good, he is blind to a truth: These are much worse than this virus.

Millions are facing mass unemployme­nt. personal, economic and social misery are going to be widespread.

Unless the government devises a coherent long-term strategy, Britain will face many cold and bitter winters to come.

The Mail appreciate­s that tackling Covid is a monumental­ly difficult task. But more than the disease, we fear this turning into an epidemic of madness.

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